THE INDUMY (SLIDE 01) 1989 IS GOING TO PROVIDE PIVOTAL CHALLENGES FOR IMPERIAL AND THE CANADIAN TOBACCO INDUSTRY. CANADA HAS ALWAYS BEEN AT THE FOREFRONT OF THE INTERNATIONAL ANTI-SMOKING EFFORT. HEALTH GROUPS AND SOCIAL ACTIVISTS HAVE EFFECTIVELY COMBINED TO PLACE TOBACCO USE SOMEWHERE NEAR THE TOP OF THE "PROBLEM" AGENDA. TWENTY YEARS AFTER THE CANADIAN VERSION OF THE SURGEON GENERAL'S REPORT, THE NAVERAGE CANADIANO: - BELIEVES TOBACCO USE WILL HAVE A REAL IMPACT ON HIS PERSONAL HEALTH. - SEES TOBACCO AS INCREASINGLY SOCIALLY UNACCEPTABLE. - BELIEVES THAT AMBIENT SMOKE MAY HARM THE NON-SMOKER AND SHOULD BE LEGISLATIVELY CONSTRAINED. THE EFFECT OF THESE BELIEFS HAS BEEN TELLING. 00 BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 3 A YEAR TO YEAR DECLINE OF 3%. THIS IS THE LARGEST RATE OF LOSS OF ANY OF THE TOP 20 INTERNATIONAL MARKETS. THE DECLINE HOWEVER, CANNOT BE ATTRIBUTED PRIMARILY TO THE SMOKING AND HEALTH ISSUE. CANADIAN GOVERNMENTS HAVE SEIZED ON THE PERCEPTION OF TOBACCO USE TO JUSTIFY TAX INCREASES THAT WOULD BE CLEARLY UNACCEPTABLE ON MOST OTHER PRODUCTS. TEN YEARS AGO TOTAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES FROM TOBACCO PRODUCTS STOOD AT $1.4 BLN. WITH THE RECENT ROUND OF INCREASES IT IS ESTIMATED THAT THIS STREAM OF REVENUE WILL SWELL TO APPROXIMATELY $6 BILLION. (SLIDE # 3) GOVERNMENT STATISTICS ON TOBACCO PRICES VERSUS OVERALL CONSUMER PRICES INDEXED TO 1980 PROVIDE A GRAPHIC ILLUSTRATION OF THE ENVIRONMENT. As OF MARCH, THE TOBACCO PRICE INDEX STOOD AT 254 COMPARED TO 148 FOR THE OVERALL BUNDLE OF CONSUMER GOODS AND SERVICES. THE SOLE CULPRIT HAS BEEN TAXATION. ON APRIL 27TH THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT INCREASED TAXES BY WHAT WILL AMOUNT TO OVER $5.00 PER CARTON OF 200 CIGARETTES - THE BIGGEST SINGLE TAX HIKE IN THE HISTORY OF THE CANADIAN INDUSTRY. WHILE WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT FOR THE ACTUAL FIGURES TO NJ C) %0 BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 4 COME IN, WE ESTIMATE THAT THIS INCREASE ALONE WILL PUSH THE TOBACCO PRICE INDEX ON THIS CHART OVER THE 300 MARK. WITH BUDGETS YET TO COME IN OUR TWO MAJOR PROVINCIAL MARKETS, WE FACE THE DAUNTING PROSPECT THAT THIS WILL GO EVEN HIGHER, WE MUST ANTICIPATE THAT THIS SPIRALLING OF TAXES WILL CONTINUE AS DEFICIT REDUCTION PUTS FURTHER PRESSURE ON GOVERNMENT REVENUE NEEDS AND AS PRICE INEVITABLY BECOMES AN INSTRUMENT OF SOCIAL AND HEALTH POLICY. (SLIDE f 4) 1988 BROUGHT ANOTHER MAJOR CHALLENGE WITH THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT'S PASSING OF THE TOBACCO PRODUCTS CONTROL ACT. SINCE 1971 THE INDUSTRY HAD BEEN GOVERNED BY A VOLUNTARY CODE WHICH HAD ELIMINATED ELECTRONIC MEDIA: LIMITED MARKETING SPENDING TO A GRADUALLY DECREASING FIXED TOTAL, AND PLACED TAR NUMBERS AS WELL AS GENERAL HEALTH WARNING ON PACKAGES AND ADVERTISING. THE NEW ACT GOES FAR BEYOND THIS. FIRST OF ALL, WE HAVE LOST WHAT WE VIEWED AS A DESIRABLE SITUATION IN THAT PREVIOUSLY VOLUNTARY RESTRICTIONS ARE NOW LEGISLATED. THERE ARE SEVERE PENALTIES FOR VIOLATIONS. @THE'RE IS NJ -IC BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 5 A LOT LESS TEMPTATION TO STRETCH THE RULE D. THERE IS A LOT LESS ROOM FOR NEGOTIATION AND INTERPRETATION, (SLIDE #5) THE MARKETING AREAS THE LAW NOW REGULATES ARE! 1. ALL PRINT ADVERTISING is BANNED. THIS LS NOT A TREMENDOUS LOSS. THE LAW HAS PROBABLY SERVED ONLY TO ADVANCE THE INEVITABLE, AS AN INCREASING NUMBER OF PUBLICATIONS, LED BY THE DAILY NEWSPAPERS, HAVE BEEN HEADING TOWARDS VOLUNTARY SUSPENSION OF TOBACCO ADVERTISING. ON THIS ISSUE THE BILL IS LARGELY A GESTURE SINCE AROUND 2/3 OF PRINT EXPOSURES TO CANADIANS ARE ACTUALLY FOR AMERICAN PRODUCTS IN U.S. PUBLICATIONS. THE GOVERNMENT HAS CHOSEN NOT TO ACT ON THIS EXPOSURE AND THIS FACT, IN CONCERT WITH FREE TRADE MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT EFFECTS ON OUR HISTORICALLY *CANADIAN'* NON-BLENDED 14ARKET OVER THE MID TERM. 2. OUTDOOR ADVERTISING IS PROGRESSIVELY BANNED. IN 1989, WE ARE ALLOWED 2/3 OF OUR 1988 EXPENDITURES IN THIS MEDIA. BY 1990 1/3 AND BY 1991 - NONE. SINCE OUTDOOR SIGNS USED IN THE TRANSITION MUST CARRY WHAT WE SEE AS AN UNACCEPTABLE HEALTH WARNING WE HAVE VOLUNTARILY WITHDRAWN FROM OUTDOOR AS OF NOW, 3. By 1992, SIGNAGE OR PROMOTIONAL MATERIALS ARE BANNED FROM STORES. MERCHANDISING OR EXPOSURE OF PRODUCT IS PERMITTED, %-C un %-C 011 r"Q BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 6 4. SAMPLING IS BANNED. 5. SPONSORSHIPS CAN ONLY BE CARRIED OUT UNDER CORPORATE NAMES., THIS CONCESSION WAS LEFT TO SILENCE OPPOSITION TO THE BILL FROM SPORTS AND CULTURAL GROUPS IN CANADA, MANY OF WHOM RELY ON SPONSORSHIP REVENUE FOR THEIR EXISTENCE. IT IS REALISTIC TO CONSIDER THIS A "W I NDOW" AS OPPOSED TO A LONG TERM GUARANTEE. 6. (SLIDE # 6) PACKAGING MUST CARRY 4 ROTATING HEALTH WARNINGS THAT HAVE TO BE CLEARLY LEGIBLE ON 20% OF MAJOR PACKAGE AND CARTON PANELS, ALREADY THERE ARE STRONG INDICATIONS THAT THE GOVERNMENT PLANS TO GO FROM 4 TO 8 MESSAGES IN THE NEAR FUTURE AND THERE IS SOME TALK OF AN INFORMATION LEAFLET IN ALL PRODUCTS. (SLIDE # 7) 7. THE PRESENT STANDARD FOR TAR MEASUREMENT HAS CHANGED. WHAT USED TO BE A 30- MM BUTT LENGTH IN THE SMOKING MACHINES HAS BEEN ALTERED TO ISO STANDARDS. THIS WILL MEAN A GENERAL INCREASE IN DECLARED TAR LEVELS. IN OUR MARKET, STRUCTURED LARGELY ON DELIVERY LEVELS, IT MAY CAUSE SOME CHANGES IN BRAND PERCEPTION. IN ADDITION TO THIS CARBON MONOXIDE NUMBERS WILL HAVE TO BE REPORTED ON ALL PRODUCTS FOR THE FIRST TIME- A STEP THAT COULD HAVE A SIMILAR LEVEL OF IMPACT TO THE EARLY 70's ADVENT OF TAR DELIVERY NUMBERS. FINE CUT TOBACCOS, FOR THE FIRST TIME WILL HAVE TO REPORT PQ DELIVERY LEVELS. CD QQ BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 7 8 THERE ARE A FEW GENERAL CATCH ALLS. THE INFORMATION THE INDUSTRY MUST REPORT TO GOVERNMENT ON SAI VS, PRODUCTION AND PRODUCT CHARACTERISTICS HAVE BEEN SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASED. THE USE OF TOBACCO TRADEMARKS ON NON-TOBACCO ITEMS IS PROHIBITED. AND SO ON. FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF ITS INTENT, IT IS A COMPREHENSIVE AND WELL WRITTEN BILL THAT WILL SUBSTANTIALLY CHANGE THE MARKETING OF TOBACCO PRODUCTS IN CANADA. ON THE OTHER HAND, IT IS NOT LIKELY TO HAVE A MAJOR COMPETITIVE IMPACT, By ITSELF, IT IS UNLIKELY TO ACHIEVE ITS STATED OBJECTIVES, IMPERIAL ANTICIPATED THIS LEGISLATION FOR SOME TIME NOW AND HAS BEEN QUIETLY GETTING ITS HOUSE IN ORDER. IT'S KEY TRADEMARKS ARE PROGRESSIVE AND WELL POSITIONS. MANY OF THE REMAINING AVENUES OF CONSUMER INFORMATION - PACKAGING, PRODUCT SENSORY CHARACTER, SYMBOLS, MERCHANDISING ARE ALREADY ACTIVE C014PONF-NTS OF THE COMPANY'S STRATEGIC PLAN. i-rL, 8) WE KNOW, FROM OBSERVATION OF OTHER HIGHLY I- OTA ICTED MARKETS LIKE FINLAND AND NORWAY, THAT IF THE CRITERIA BILL'S SUCCESS IS VOLUME PERFORMANCE, THE BAN WILL BE 1-C 01% BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 - 8 - JUDGED A FAILURE. LOGICALLY, GIVEN THE INTENT OF THE SOCIAL PLANNERS WE HAVE TO EXPECT THAT THIS WILL STIMULATE NEW INITIATIVES IN THE FORM OF MORE RESTRICTIONS, MUCH SUGGESTS THAT OUR DISTRIBUTION NETWORK MAY BE NEXT. PHARMACIES AND DRUGSTORES ARE INCREASINGLY TALKING ABOUT Ml STOCKING OR PROMOTING TOBACCO PRODUCTS. THE UNENFORCEABILITY OF THE "AGE OF PURCHASEO LAWS WITHIN OUR PRESENT RETAIL ENVIRONMENT IS COMING UNDER PUBLIC SCRUTINY. AT LEAST ONE POSSIBLE OUTCOME IN THE LONGER TERM IS A CONTROLLED DISTRIBUTION NETWORK, SUCH AS THAT USED FOR ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES IN MUCH OF OUR COUNTRY, PRICE AND TAXATION WHICH HAVE ALREADY CHALLENGED THE INDUSTRY IN THE PAST YEAR, ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO DO SO. TWO ELEMENTS OF GOVERNMENT TAX POLICY WILL SIGNIFICANTLY CHANGE THE FUTURE. (SLIDE # 9) THE FIRST HAS TO DO WITH THE OVERALL RATE AND STRUCTURE OF CANADIAN TOBACCO TAX. TODAY TAX IS COLLECTED AT TWO LEVELS OF GOVERNMENT AND REPRESENTS A TOTAL OF '707, =9 OF THE FINAL CONSUMER PRICE. ON AN ABSOLUTE BASIS, THESE PRICES HAVE MADE SMUGGLING A VIABLE CANADIAN INDUSTRY. TODAY THE PRIMARY PROBLEM IS CANADIAN DUTY FREE PRODUCTS REENTERING THE MARKET TAX FREE. THE CONCERN THAT THIS HAS CAUSED THE r--j CD Lr -.0 Ln BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 - 9 - FEDERAL GOVERNMENT IS MATCHED ONLY BY THAT OF THE PROVINCES WHO EXERCISE A RIGHT TO TAX TOBACCO PRODUCTS WITHIN THEIR OWN GEOGRAPHIC AREAS. DIFFERENCES IN TAX RATES, BETWEEN PROVINCES MAKE EASY PICKINGS FOR SMUGGLERS SINCE THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO REAL MARKINGS ON CANADIAN PRODUCTS TO INDICATE THE MARKET DESTINATION. THIS IS LIKELY TO CHANGE. PROVINCES ARE ACTIVELY PRESSING FOR UNIQUE MARKINGS AND WHEN THESE COME TO PASS THEY CAN BE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE COMPLICATIONS OF OUR OPERATING SYSTEMS AND STYLES. THE CANADIAN MARKET WILL IN EFFECT BECOME TWELVE CANADIAN MARKETS. FROM A CONSUMER PERSPECTIVE THE HIGH COST OF TOBACCO HAS CREATED A HUGE NEED FOR LOWER PRICE ALTERNATIVES. (SLIDE 0 10) THE GROWTH OF FINE CUT USAGE FROM 15% OF SMOKERS TO OVER 25% IS AN EXPRESSION OF THIS AS WAS THE RAPID GROWTH OF DISCOUNT BRANDS DURING THE 1986/87 PRICE WAR. To DATE THE COST STRUCTURE OF CIGARETTES HAS LED TO PRICE BEING USED PROMOTIONALLYo TAX IS SUCH A BIG PIECE OF THE FINAL CONSUMER PRICE THAT IN ORDER TO GET MEANINGFUL LEVELS OF CONSUMER DISCOUNT A MANUFACTURER MUST TAKE UNACCEPTABLE CUTS IN HIS MARGINS, %-C 0% 0% BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 - 10 THE FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS THE RELATIVELY LAX DEFINITION OF TOBACCO PRODUCTS WITHIN THE TAX ACTS. THESE HAVE BEEN PRIED OPEN BY ROTHMANS, BENSON AND HEDGES. WHO HAVE RECENTLY INTRODUCED THIS PATENTED PRODUCT, (SLIDE # 11) THE TOBACCO STICK EFFECTIVELY SIMPLIFIES THE PROCESS OF ROLLING YOUR OWN CIGARETTE, ELIMINATES THE MESS AND INCONSISTENCY ASSOCIATED WITH THE PROCESS AND DOES SO AT AJAX RATE EQUIVALENT TO THE FAVORED LEVEL GIVEN TO FINE CUT TOBACCOS IN SPITE OF THE FACT THAT THE PRODUCT, IN EFFECT, IS A HIGHLY VENTILATED PLAIN END. IT IS A SIGNIFICANT THREAT. IT IS ONE WE ARE PRESSING GOVERNMENTS TO DEAL WITH BY CLOSING THE LOOPHOLES THAT CREATE ITS ADVANTAGE, THEY TOO STAND TO LOSE A LOT OF THEIR CURRENT REVENUE To IT, HOWEVER QUITE CLEARLY, EVEN IF THE GOVERNMENT DOES ACT ON THIS ONE EXPRESSION THE DAYS OF A WELL ORDERED AND PREDICTABLE PRICE ENVIRONMENT ARE COMING TO A CLOSE. IMPERIAL WILL HAVE TO AND 11 LEARNING WHAT IT NEEDS TO KNOW TO NAVIGATE SUCCESSFULLY IN THESE NEW WATERS. (SLIDE 0 12) ALL IN ALL, IT IS OBVIOUSLY AN INDUSTRY THAT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY CHALLENGING. IT IS ONE THAT CLEARLY is CHARACTERIZED BY EXTERNAL PRESSURES. UNLIKE MANY TOBACCO I-C Lr- -@c BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 - 11 - MARKETS INTERNATIONALLY THE GROUND RULES ARE CHANGING RAPIDLY AND SIGNIFICANTLY AND THE KEY AREA OF COMPETITION WILL LIE IN THE ABILITY TO RAPIDLY AND EFFECTIVELY EXPLOIT NEW OPPORTUNITIES AS THEY EMERGE. THE COMPANY ON THE OTHER HAND THE COMPANY IS UP TO IT. (SLIDE # 13) IMPERIAL'S SHARE OF THE TAILORMADE MARKET 12 MONTHS TO MARCH 1989 STANDS AT cc up 1. 1 SHARE POINTS OVER THE PREVIOUS TWELVE MONTH PERIOD. THIS REPRESENTS THE 13TH CONSECUTIVE YEAR OF SHARE GAINS. IN SPITE OF THE ADVERSE INDUSTRY CLIMATE AND THE INDUSTRY VOLUME DECLINES, IMPERIAL'S MARKETING EFFORTS ALLOWED THEN TO ACHIEVE VOLUME GROWTH IN EACH OF THE PAST THREE YEARS. THE COMPANY'S TRADEMARKS CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE TOP TRADEMARK LIST IN CANADA WITH PLAYER'S AND DU MAURIER NOW REPRESENTING ALMOST 46% OF ALL THE CIGARETTES SOLD IN CANADA. MATINEE, A RECENT ADDITION TO THE STRATEGIC PRIORITY LIST OF THE COMPANY IS SHOWING ENCOURAGING PROGRESS. IMPERIAL ALSO DOMINATES THE LIST OF THE TOP 10 BRANDS IN CANADA WITH SIX ON THIS LIST. -%C co BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 12 - PERHAPS MORE INDICATIVE OF-THE FUTURE OF THE COMPANY IS THIS PERSPECTIVE ON HOW THEIR BUSINESS IS CONSTRUCTED. (SLIDE 14) f. T. L. HAS ALWAYS FOCUSED ITS EFFORTS ON NEW SMOKERS BELIEVING T14AT EARLY PERCEPTIONS TEND TO STAY WITH THEM. THROUGHOUT THEIR LIVES. I. T. L. CLEARLY DOMINATES THE YOUNG ADULT MARKET TODAY AND STANDS TO PROSPER AS THESE SMOKERS AGE AND AS IT MAINTAINS ITS HIGHLY FAVORABLE YOUTHFUL PREFERENCE, INNOVATIONS, LIKE THE ROTHMANS BENSON AND HEDGES CUSTOM CUT WILL COME AND GO BUT THEY WILL INEVITABLY SUCCUMB TO TRADEMARK EQUITY. IN A VERY REAL SENSE C-51 PROVIDES A MAJOR ADVANTAGE TO A COMPANY LIKE IMPERIAL THAT HAS ITS TRADEMARK HOUSE IN ORDER. IN TERMS OF DEVELOPMENT PLANS AND ACTIVITIES, THE COMBINATION OF THE COMPANY'S TWO BASIC CREDOS - TRADEMARK VALUE AND CONSUMER RESEARCH HAVE PRODUCED SOME FAIRLY EXCITING PROSPECTS. ALTHOUGH (EX PRICE) THERE IS A BASIC LACK OF DYNAMISM IN THE MARKET IMPERIAL HAS CONTINUED TO INTRODUCE A SERIES OF SUCCESSFUL NEW ENTRIES. (SLIDE #15) DU MAURIER EXTRA LIGHT, CAMEO SPECIAL, PLAYER'S MEDIUM AND MATINEE SPECIAL MILD HAVE ALL SUCCESSFULLY SUPPORTED THE DRIVE FOR "NEW PRODUCT" BUSINESS. r%j BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 13 AT THE CORE OF THIS PORTFOLIO, CONSUMER INFORMATION ON EMERGING PERCEPTIONS HAS ALLOWED IMPERIAL TO MAKE SOME FAIRLY BOLD MODIFICATIONS TO EXISTING FAMILIES IN ORDER TO PREPARE THEM FOR THE FUTURE. DU MAURIER IS THE NUMBER TWO CANADIAN TRADEMARK AFTER PLAYER'S. IT IS STRATEGICALLY POSITIONED TO REFLECT 'CONTEMPORARY CLASS" AND QUALITY, (SLIDE # 16) NOTWITHSTANDING A GROWING FAMILY SHARE OF 211 AND A CONTRIBUTION OF 37% To OUR SALES VOLUME, WE WERE ABLE TO ISOLATE THE NEED FOR SOME SIGNIFICANT UPDATING IN BOTH PACK AND C OMM UNICATIONS POSITIONING. THE INITIAL RESULTS FROM TEST MARKET SUGGEST THAT BEYOND CONSOLIDATING OUR FUTURE PERFORMANCE WE ARE LIKELY LOOKING AT IMMEDIATE SHARE IMPROVEMENT IN THE 1-2% RANGES. THE CONSISTENCY OF THE OVERALL DESIGN WAS STRUCTURED IN SUCH A WAY THAT IT WOULD FACILITATE THE LEAST INTRUSIVE APPLICATION OF C-51 WARNINGS AND PERMIT THE GREATEST POSSIBLE DEGREE OF TRADEMARK CONSISTENCY WITHIN THE COMING MARKETING RESTRICTIONS. THE 14ATINEE FAMILY HAS ALSO BEEN MODIFIED. (SLIDE # 17) HISTORICALLY MATINEE HAS BEEN ONE OF THOSE BRANDS KNOWN PRIMARILY FOR PRODUCT CHARACTERISTICS IN THIS CASE, MILDNESS. Pk.) Lr %%C BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 - 14 - THE MARKETING EFFORT AIMED PRIMARILY AT CREATING POSITIVE AND APPROPRIATE FEMALE IMAGES AROUND THE BRAND HAS LED TO THIS NEW PRESENTATION. ON MANY BRANDS, I.T.L. HAS TAKEN ADVANTAGE OF THE CHANGES NECESSITATED BY THE PACKAGING COMPONENT OF THE BILL TO MAKE SMALL BUT NECESSARY GRAPHIC COURSE CORRECTIONS, THE PLAYER'S FAMILY (SLIDE 18) - SOME - 44% OF OUR BUSINESS HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY. THE CAMEO FAM I LY,LWHICH IN THE NORMAL COURSE OF EVENTS WOULD NOT MAKE THE CUT FOR RESOURCE .@HAS BENEFITTED THROUGH A MUCH NEEDED FACE LIFT. THESE CHANGES IN CONJUNCTION WITH ONGOING MARKETING EFFORTS ARE EXPECTED TO PROVIDE FOR CONTINUED SHARE GROWTH. (SLIDE # 19) THE 1. T. L. FORECAST SEES MARKET SHARE EXPANDING TO 58.8% BY 1993. THE COMPANY OBJECTIVE IS SET AT 62% AND DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS HAVE BEEN ISOLATED TO FILL THIS GAP. INDUSTRY VOLUME IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS DECLINE WITH TAXATION LEVELS CONTINUING TO PLAY THE MAJOR ROLE. NJ BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 - 15 - THE COMBINED EFFECT OF THIS WILL BE MARGINAL ANNUAL VOLUME LOSSES FOR THE COMPANY, (SLIDE # 20) THERE IS AN EXTENT TO WHICH THESE PLANS SEEM. TO IGNORE THE REALITY OF THE LAWS THAT HAVE RECENTLY BEEN IMPOSED ON THE COMPANY. THIS IS ONLY APPEARANCE. IN A VERY REAL SENSE THE COMPANY'S EXPECTATIONS ARE THAT C-51 WILL NOT END TOBACCO MARKETING, BUT WILL BRING ABOUT VERY MAJOR CHANGES IN HOW THAT EXERCISE IS CONDUCTED. IN THE SHORT TERM, WE DO-NOT EXPECT THAT MUCH WILL HAPPEN; WITH THE SINGLE EXCEPTION THAT CO WILL INCREASE IN VISIBILITY AND LIKELY BRING ABOUT AN OPPORTUNITY FOR CO REDUCED PRODUCTS. THE COMPANY'S SHORT TERM PRIORITY WILL BE ON REORIENTING RESOURCES TO BE EFFECTIVE IN THE CONVENTIONAL AVENUES THAT ARE LEFT OPEN TO US. THERE IS A PRIORITY ON EFFECTIVE PACK DESIGN INCLUDING THE EXTERIOR CARTON OVERWRAP WHICH WILL BE RECONFIGURED TO PROVIDE MORE IMPACT. IMPERIAL'S EXTENSIVE SPONSORSHIP PORTFOLIO IS BEING RESTAGED UNDER NEW CORPORATE NAMES THAT WILL ALLOW THEM TO CONTINUE EXPLOITING THE HUGE EQUITY IN THEIR INVESTMENTS IN THIS AREA. r*j '-4 %O - -14 r1-j BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 - 16 THE RETAIL ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE TO BE EXPLOITED. WE HAVE INVESTED HEAVILY IN DEVELOPING THE EXPOSURE OF OUR BRANDS AND WILL AGGRESSIVELY DEFEND WHAT WE HAVE GOT. WHERE NEW BRANDS ARE REQUIRED, THEY WILL CONTINUE TO BE INTRODUCED. CONSUMER RESPONSE IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE IN THE MID TERM. C-51 IS EXPECTED TO REDUCE THE INDUSTRIES ABILITY TO CREATE FINE POINTS OF IMAGE DIFFERENTIATION. THERE WILL STILL BE BRANDS FOR MEN AND BRANDS FOR WOMEN, BUT WE WILL LOSE THE ABILITY TO ARTICULATE THE SMALL IMAGE DIFFERENCES THAT SEPARATE, FOR EXAMPLE CAMEL AND MARLBORO IN MOST INTERNATIONAL MARKETS. To-FILL THIS VOID WE EXPECT NEW POINTS OF EMPHASIS WILL EMERGE. PRODUCT AND SENSORY CHARACTERISTIC9 WILL HAVE TO BE MUCH MORE FULLY EXPLOITED. THERE IS A LOT OF WORK PROCEEDING TO BETTER UNDERSTAND HOW CONSUMERS SEGMENT TASTES AND FORM PREFERENCES. QUALITY WILL BECOME A KEY ISSUE - NOT QUALITY AS WE INTERPRETED IT AS THE ABSENCE OF DEFECTS, BUT QUALITY ARTICULATED IN CONSUMER TERMS - TERMS WE ARE BEGINNING TO INVESTIGATE WITH SMOKERS IN ANTICIPATION OF THIS. PI= WILL INEVITABLY BE AN ISSUE, AS WILL U.S. BRANDS AND TRADEMARKS IN PARTICULAR AND INTERNATIONAL CREDENTIALS IN BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 17 - GENERAL. ALL OF THESE ARE CURRENTLY UNDER ACTIVE INVESTIGATION AT THE CONSUMER LEVEL IN ORDER TO PROVIDE A WELL ORDERED, CONSUMER DRIVEN FRAMEWORK INTO WHICH WE CAN FIT OUR TRADEMARKS. IN THE LONGER TERM IT IS OUR FIRM BELIEF THAT C-51 WILL BRING ABOUT REAL TECHNICAL INNOVATION. IT IS NOTEWORTHY THAT THE BILL ACTUALLY HAS A PROVISION FOR APPROVAL OF ADVERTISING -OF PRODUCTS THAT ARE SAFER, IN SPITE OF THE FAILURE OF PREMIER AND PASSPORT AND LIKELY VANTAGE ExCELL AND (CHELSEA), THESE PRODUCTS DQ REPRESENT REAL TECHNICAL INNOVATIONS THAT ARE WANTED AND WANTED BADLY BY MOST OF OUR CUSTOMERS. TO ASSUME THAT BECAUSE THESE EXAMPLES HAVE FAILED, THAT FAILURE IS INEVITABLE WOULD HAVE BEEN EQUIVALENT TO ASSUMING THAT LIGHT PRODUCTS WOULD NEVER BE COMMERCIALLY VIABLE BECAUSE THE MAJORITY OF EARLY ENTRIES DIDN'T GET IT RIGHT. THE TECHNICAL AND CONSUMER RESEARCH CHALLENGES THAT PRODUCTS, AIMED AT PERSONAL HEALTH AND SOCIAL ACCEPTABILITY WILL POSE ARE FORMIDABLE. ON THE OTHER HAND, THE REWARDS THEY WILL BRING WITH Lr- %.C BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 SUCCESS. ARE HUGE. THE PUNPSHMENT THEY WILL INFLICT ON THE UNPREPARED WILL BE PAINFUL. THEIR DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN GIVEN A SIGNIFICANT LEVEL OF RESOURCES IN BOTH OUR R & D AND MARKETING DEPARTMENTS. ULTIMATELY, IN SPITE OF OUR CHALLENGES WE REMAIN OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THE FUTURE OF TOBACCO. ACTUAL PERFORMANCE IS REMARKABLE FROM ANY POINT OF VIEW AND PLANNED PERFORMANCE BUILDS ON THIS STRONG BASE. (SLIDE 0 21). WE SEE 1988 OPERATING PROFIT OF $308 MILLION BEFORE INTEREST AND TAXES GROWING AT A COMPOUND RATE OF 7% TO $431 MILLION IN 1993. CASH FLOW WILL GROW 8% PER YEAR FROM $211 TO $304 MILLION. (SLIDE 22). TO ACHIEVE THESE RESULTS NET TRADING ASSETS WILL INCREASE FROM $503 MILLION IN 1988 TO $645 MILLION IN 1993. RETURN OR NET ASSETS WILL INCREASE FROM 61.2% IN 1988 To 66.9% IN 1993. WE LOOK TO IMPERIAL NOT ONLY FOR FUNDS TODAY BUT ALSO TO ENSURE THAT WE ACCESS THE MARKET POTENTIAL THAT IS LATENT IN THE FUTURE. 67 Qn BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999