CAC 11 : RIO 02 JANZIRO Item 'El : Introduction to Retail Session 1. The fLrsc slide shows the contributions to the Group's 1968 Turnover and Trading Profits from the Racailing activities. It also shows the forecasts for the growth rates over the next five years included in the respective plans. As in the case of the Tobacco figures, there are some differences from the figures given by David Allvey in that the Plan figures for BATUS are based an US rather than UK accounting while the starting point for RATIG is based an figures adjusted co oliainate special item in that year. As a result, the growth rates shown for profits for both BATUS and BATIG are rather lower than those shown on Tuesday. However, in each case, they still represent a significant improvement in margins over the period. Z. Key features of the table are:- (a) The impor-tance of the concribution from Argos, Saks and Marshall Field's, which together acco=c*d for almost 80% of the total profits from retailing in 1988. (b) The large number of Loss makers including Ivey's, Breuners, Peoples and rho two discontinued businesses The Jewellers Guild and Thimbles (included under che Corporate beading in BATUS). Also, the low margins for Horton. (c) It should also be noted that the figures for IMASCO represent the Group's 40Z share only. which mans that in absolute term Hard*es is #lithely larger than Argos. In add the sales figures for Shoppers Drug refer only to the Imasco revenues rather than to the system-wide sales for this franchise operation. 3. Looking to the prospects for the next five years:- (a) The growth rates in Argon, although impressive, are lower than the actual rates achieved over the past five years. The min dangers to these figures say lie in the degree of market penetration that has been achieved and in increased competition In mom of the key product areas In which Argos has been most successful. (b) The forecasts for Saks and Marshall Field's show growth rates for sales which are not dissimilar from the rates experienced In the five years 1983 to 1988. Where there is a major difference, however, is in the races of profits Srowth 'At are forecast. Here, the rates shown need to be compared with virtually no growth in Saks in the period since 1983, While profits growth was only 22 faster than sales in Marshall Field's rather than the 6% difference shown in the plan. co BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999 2 - (c) The forecasts for Horton represent a combination of two separate projections for the 39 store Caleria chain and for the residual 13 stores included under Ror-cen-Extra. The growth rates for each chain are similar with more emphasis on improved margins than on rapid growth. However, there is an aim to lay the foundacions for more rapid growth in the Caloric chain in the future and there is also an aim to dispose of the Horton-Extra chain at an appropriate time. Another key issue for Rattan which is noc evtdeac from the Table is that this is still a low return business and on current plans the returns on act assets in the Caleria stores is forecast to reach only 12.4Z by 1993, raising some question as to the viability of this concept. (d) In Iaasco, the plans show a rationallsed Peoples Drug chain returning to profits with continuing rapid expansion in Shoppers Drug, Hardees and UCS. 4. The key issues for discussion suggested by the Chairman are summarised an the next slide, with the issues for the individual businesses leading through to the more general questions as to whether the Group has the capability to add value to its retailing businesses and, following on from this. whether there are realistic growth options for B.A.T Industries in Utailing. 5. One way in which the Centre ran add value is by assisting the operations in formulating viable plans for their activities. by ensuring that each business moats the following criteria and that It:- (a) is based on a clearly defined concept which has been researched and tested to ensure chat L: is attractive to the target customer group; (b) has strong systems support; (c) pays sufficient attention to staff training and communication to maintain efficiency and achieve an effective delivery of the concept to the customer; (d) has a defined competitive advantsSe over other retailers competing for the same customers; (a) has achievable plans to meet the B.A.T Industries' criteria. specified in the Guidelines. 6. The Contra can also add value by encouraging the exchange of information and experience between the Group's retailing businesses. This was the thinking behind Project Exchange, set up after the last Chairman's Advisory Conference and designed to assist in the upgrading of performance in Information Technology, Consumer Research and Training. (The Chairman to suggest to delegates that they should concentrate on the r%) two overall questions - can we add value to retailing and are there load CD opportunities for us in this sector. meeting the Group's criteria for returns and for growth. To start the discussion on adding value, Tom Long .will sl- the progress that h" been made an Project Exchange.) Url its /WA 29th April 1989 BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 22 April 1999