SECRET r", BATM PLM EREM 1921 - 1995 eo@, PO CD E --%i C7% co U4 .-.D BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 BATCO PLAN PREVIEW 1991 - 1995 SUMMARY 1.Vol me/Trading Profits 2.Sensitivities 3.Investment/Cash Position 4. Other Options SUMMARY OF GROWTH STRATEGIES 1.INCREASED SALES VOLUME 1.1Development of UK International Brands 1.2Deployment of UK IB in Existing and New Export Markets I.Z.1 Existing Export Markets 1.2.2New Export Markets 1.3Development of US International Brands 1.4Deployment of UK and USIS in Domestic Markets 2.COST COMPETITIVENESS 2.1Factory and Production Rationalisation 2.2Productivity 2.3Crop Expenses 2.4Other Cost Reduction Measures 2.5UK Income 3.ADDITIONAL GROWTH STRATEGY OPTIONS 3.1Cigars 3.2Pricing Strategy 3.3Development of Leaf Exports 4.OTHER DEVELOPMENTS S.DIVERSIFICATION N. S.The performance projections in this paper have been submitted by operating companies before the completion of their plans. The figures have not yet been audited or approved by BATCo Territorial Directors, and may change in the final I a plan. rQ CD C. co 21- BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 SECRET BATCO PLAN PREVIEW SUMMARY 1. Volume/Trading Profits 1.1 BATCo's 15% P. a. growth objective for the plan period succeeds five years of mixed profit growth rates, based largely on cost reduction measures and on price increases. Latest Est. % IM IM = Growth Volume Sales (bns) 250 251 240 241 251 266 1.2 Trading Profit KM) Z37 234 224 232 300 348 8.0 Profit before Tax 303 298 289 316 393 435 7.5 US$ exch. rate 1.450 1.483 1.879 1.809 1.613 1.767 (as at 30-9.90) 1.2 The 1990 - 1994 plan projected the following trends: % p. a. Jn4_ Growth Volume (bns) 251 260 264 269 274 279 2.1 - Trading Profit (Emn) 300 365 414 466 504 552 13.2 Assocs PST 38 41 46 51 57 63 10.6 1.3 The projections in 1.2 above were based on the 1989 year-end exchange rate of $1.63. On translation to the exchange rate used in this preview, i.e. $1.768 as agreed with BAT Industries, the 1990 - 94 projections would have been of the order of: % P. a. =9 im im IM 12L4 Growth Trading Profit 300 318 348 388 409 443 8.1 Assocs PBT 38 36 40 44 48 53 6.9 Precise comparison is impossible because the underlying inflation rate assumptions for each territory remain unaltered. 1.4 BAT Industries' guidelines to BATCo call for a 15% P. a. profit growth on the 1990 budgeted trading profit base of C365 mn, as against an end-September estimate for 1990 of E348 mn. 1.5 The preview projections for 1991-1995 are based an the implementation by operating companies of those strategies which are expected to have the maximum impact on sustained profit growth. Those strategies, which are focussed on achieving greater sales volumes of international brands and greater cost competitiveness, are outlined in this paper. -4 0% co BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 1.6 Based an these strategies, preliminary projections for the 1991-95 preview, submitted by I I operating companies at the aid stage of their 1990 planning cycle, indicate-the performance forecast for BATCo in the table below. It must be emphasised that all the projections by the operating companies in this paper, including forecast exchange rates, have iiern neither 'audited' in depth nor a proved by a I and that the figures may well change in the final ILA (90-93) (90-95) 10 S 4_3 Volume (bns) 266 269 1.2 279 286 2.5 290 300 2.5 TP (Emn) 348 379 9.0 434 475 10.9 S36 581 10.8 Assocs PBT* 40 41 3.7 44 48 6.7 52 55 6.6 [*N.B. The low growth in associates' projections results from projected devaluation of the rupee. In local currency terms, ITC and SH Group project annual profit growth rates in excess of 15% and 6% respectively.] 1.7 These projections imply a growth of 10 8% p. a. from the probable I 1990 TP base of E348 mn, and of 9.7% p:&. from the guideline base of E365 mn. Volume and profit projections by region are contained in Appendix 1. 1.8 The shortfall gap between the performance expectations in the 1990-94 plan and those in the 1991-95 preview is caused primarily 6-;;@@2@ by currency fluctuations. At the exchange rates used In the 1990-94 plan, the trading projections in the 1991-95 preview would indicate a more optimistic overall performance. Marginally lower expectations in the domestic markets of Africa, South America and the Sub-Continent are offset by higher growth in the export markets, principally of the Far East. 2. Sensitivities With the exception of the China, Chile and Venezuela markets, loss of forecast trading performance in any one of BATCo's markets would not affect the overall operating group results by more than 4%. There are four possible factors which could influence performance results more severely. 2.1 The effect on translation of a 10c movement in the US$ exchange rate from the preview rate of US$1.768 would be: on USS strengthening - TP +C16 mm +CIS an +E23 an on US$ weakening - TP -E14 on -06 mn - C20 = 2.2 Total 13AT Group sales to China in 1991 are estimated at 24 bn, ielding a contribution of the order of L99 mn to BATCo. lWor Disruption of this market is not foreseen. However, between 75% and Sb% of the trade will comprise non-duty paid ships' starts. Closer efforts by the Chinese authorities to control the ships" stores trade, or by, CHTC to limit official imports, could result in C:) a diminished contribution, but this has a low probability. '-4 2 co r_J BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 2.3 A prolonged increase in energy prices as a result of the Gulf crisis could impact significantly on fitability. Developing country economie's would-weaken from Inflationary pressures and reduced commodity prices, causing a fall in demand and foreign exchange shortages. The preview projections assume modest increases in oil prices. Preliminary calculations, which are being refined, suggest a sustainodlincrease to US$40 per barrel could affect BATCo's TP by between-M - E40 mn. The impact an cash flow to the UK could be equally significant. 2.4 The preview projections assume the loss of the intra-EEC duty free business from 1993 onwards. Should that not occur, BATCo I trading profit would rise by approx E17.0 mn in 1993. In the 1990-94 plan this was shown only as a sensitivity (EI3.4 mn in 1993 and E14.2 mn In 1994). 3. Invegtment/Cash Position 3.1 All the investments currently proposed in major additional production capacity and in accelerated productivity are included in the preview projections (see section 2.1), except for Singapore. These amount to a total of approx. ElM DI En over the plan period I, in addition to normal replacement expenditure. It is likely that additional expenditure on e further capacity increases will be proposed over the plan period. > 3.2 The level of dividends to be paid by BATCo to BAT Industries, the balance of deposits with BAT I F, and the net external debt have been calculated, at this stage, on the basis of broad assumptions: JM JILO JM D-9 Z M3_ 1194 IM Dividend 1990-94 plan 162 183 205 228 255 ZB6 321 1991-95 preview 200 220 242 266 293 322@ RAT I deposit 125 348 394 473 493 509 SIB Met Cash* 67 39 23 48 86 127 137 *Cash and current investments (excl . BATIF deposit) less external borrowings. Dividends have been struck at a growth rate of 10% P. a. on the 1990 guideline base of C200 mn. The growth of projected BATCo attributable PAT is not yet known. The level of BATIF deposit is increased significantly in 1990 following a capital reduction in Australia (E225 mn)-, and in 1991 by a capital reduction in Singapore (f.28 mn). BATCo HQ relocation expenditure, Including fixed assets, of up to C18 on has been taken into account, and is offset by assumed proceeds on the sale of Millbank of C40 mn. 4. Other Options The preview projections indicate that, on current exchange rate assumptions, the 15% P. a. growth objective is unlikely to be achieved on the basis of existing strategies. Further options are therefore @t forward for consideration, the impacts of which have not been includ in the projections. These options, which include the expansion of leaf C= exports, a change of pricing strategy, and the possibility of acquisitions and joint ventures, are considered in Section 3. 3 CZ BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 SIM OF am MUNI EJ BATCo I ability to achieve sustained profit growth over the next decade will depend primarily an expanding the sales volume of its international brands. In the shorter term, profit growth will continue to depend on achieving continuing cost reductions per unit of sales, without sacrificing product quality. 1. INCREASED SALES VOLME The next decade will be characterised by: i. Increasing restrictions on advertising, on use of additives, on cigarette constituents, and an deliveries. ii. The continuing growth of demand for US blended and 100 products, and for low delivery and reduced sidestream products. ( 11 A. I - ) 1-@, ")I J ") M. The increasing importance of THO',and of international sponsorship in determining purchasing behaviour. W. Increasing concentration of the distributive trades, and importance of in-store communications. RATCo has four types of volume growth opportunity, apart from acquisition or mergers: i. In some growing domestic markets where BATCo is dominant, there is the opportunity to grow with the market, e.g. in Nigeria, Kenya and Chile, at a rate of some 14% P. A. Total BATCo sales volume in these markets (including India) is approx 100 bns. ii. In other domestic markets, there is the opportunity to increase an existing low share, as in Europe and Malaysia. in these normally competitive, and declining markets, growth will be difficult and slow. An additional 1% of the aggregated shares of such markets would increase sales volume by 1.5 bns. iii. In existing and newly opening export markets, there is the opportunity to grow more rapidly, mainly with exports, but if necessary by joint venture arrangements. The main opportunities lie in Russia, Eastern Europe, Turkey, and S. . Asia. iv. There may be an opportunity to increase volume sales by holding price levels in markets which have declined over the last decade due to price increases, often taken above local inflation levels. (See section 3.2). In situations ii. and M. above, share will be maximised, with Category one international brands. in some markets, further growth will be secured by the launch of second line international brands. 1.1 UALUM OF UK INTERNATIONAL BRANDS BATCols prime marketing objective is to increase the volume of its UK I8 sales by not less than 5% per annum, and thus to increase its current 29.4% share of the UK 18 segment (excluding the UK market). General strategies to promote growth of the UK trade marks include: 4 BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 i. An active search for new markets where these trade marks can be introduced. See Section 1.2. ii. A targeting of recovery in specific traditional markets where sales volumes have declined in recent years e.g. Malaysia and West Africa. iii. A continued focussing of adequate levels of support on key markets, as well as behind the diversification of the B & H and SES55 trade marks. iv. An increasing deployment of line extensions, princip and Mild versions. Delivery levels will be reduced, the competition, in line with the consumer swing fro flavour to light and ultra light products. v. An increasing flexibility of blend style incorporating more modified Virginia, and US blended products, for selected UK trade marks. Greater modification initially an the mild line extensions of the trade mark will optimise product performance Ik at the lower delivery levels. Yi. The tactical launch of second-line quasi-international brands in the price category below PGL in certain export markets e.g. Indo-China and West Africa. Specific strategies for developing each of BATCo major UK trade marks are contained in Appendix 2. 1.2 DEPLOYMENT OE UK 1B IN EXISTING AND NEW EXPORT MARKETS Exports of UK international brands to existing and new markets offer RATCo the single greatest opportunity for rapid volume and profit growth, reflecting the move towards greater liberalisation of trade, particularly in certain Far East markets. End markets are either 'domestic' (to which BATCo companies export directly) or GT (to which BATCo companies export indirectly). Both types exhibit sow volatility as restrictions an imports are raised or imposed. Of the two, the former are more stable and offer BATCo the opportunity for measured investment in traditional marketing and distribution techniques. Owing to the level of international competition in these end markets, pay backs on investment will tend to be long term. GT markets are inherently unstable but by definition offer few investment opportunities and are therefore highly profitable. Under pressure of greater trade liberalisation, GT markets are migrating towards 'domestic' market status throughout the world. BATCo will seek to enhance the security of its profits profile from exports, by investing to secure a larger share of domestic and markets, whilst aggressively seeking out new GT market opportunities to fund such investmnt. The main areas of growth foreseen for the three principal UK trade marks are: a & H -France, West Africa, Thailand, Bangladesh, India and Korea. SE555 -Chinat Taiwan, Thailand and Indo-China. PGL -Africa, Indo-China, Taiwan, Sub-Continent, and the Middle East. co X@b Qrl BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 1.2.1 Existing Export Markets The principal initiatives currently planned in existing export markets will be: Far EAst China - launch of B & H Taiwan - SESH loos to be launched and PGL introduced Korea - Introduction of B & H SH KS and 100s Thailand - Drive SEFK and SE100s when market opens - Launch of BHS Indo-China - Introduction of PGL and 8 & H 100 mm Sub-Continent - Introduction of PGL Lights into Pakistan Middle East - Introduction of SE100s (Saudi and Gulf) Africa - Launch of PGL into new markets Europe - Extension of 100 mm version of 8 & H France - Introduction of B & H U14 Menthol Greece - Increase in support behind B & H Germany - Introduction of B & H Golden Milds 1.2.2 New Export Markets The now market opportunities which have not been included in the plan projections, but which could lead to acceleration of profit growth are shown below. [The size of the total market shown may tend to exaggerate the scope of opportunity for UKI BS I i. Far East - Burma and Vietnam (total market 29 bn) - BATUKE are developing marketing initiatives. ii. Near East - Lebanon/Syria (total market 21 bn) - BATUKE are exploring brand and distribution options. iii. Harth Africa - (total market 20 bn) BATUKE is currently evaluating the potential for SAT UKIBs. iv. Europe - Russia (total market 480 bn) - An overall strat y on products, blends, pricing etc. is being formulated for all ATCo companies. - Eastern Europe (total market 270 bn) - In addition to Cate ory I UKIBs and the duty free business in each territory, the ?aunch of an economy blended product is being evaluated. - UK (total market 98 bn) - the possibility of targeting oriental and subcontinental communities with SES55 may be an opportunity. The RATCo 1991-95 plan will contain investment proposals to support 'ill be BATCols brand strategy in each major market. These proposals W designed to optimise I O's normal level of support expenditure by focussing an key brands in growth markets. There is no evidence to suggest that major investment outside these normal limits in any particular major market will enable BATCo to accelerate its profit growth materially in the medium term. 6 GIN BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 Export objectives for the key brands of 8 & H and SE555 (Which currently make no volume assumptions for markets for which full profit approval has yet to be given) are: JH4 JM Growth Vol.sales B & H 6.7 7.2 7.7 7.2 7.5 7.9 3.4% (bns) SE555 11.1 12.4 12.9 13.5 14.2 1S.0 6.2% Com.exp. B & H 8.7 11.5 12.2 10.1 10.3 10.5 - (Emns) SE555 4.2 7.1 8.0 8.7 9.3 9.7 - 1.3 DEVELOPMENT OF US INTERNATIONAL BRANDS BATCo will continue to work closely with B & W to develop and to position the D= for maximum growth: I. Lucky Strike will continue to be developed in Latin America, Europe and the Far East. In markets where the parent is established, Lucky Strike Lights will be launched to compete with Marlboro Lights. ii. Barglay"s progress will accelerated by: a) management of the change to 5mg/0-5mg on-pack claim b) launch of Barclay Ultra Lights (2mg) into BATCo's European markets as appropriate, in the light of its progress in Switze;iand. C) potential launch of Barclay in Spain. The launch of Barclay in Spain, France and Italy Is important In order to increase the brand's exposure in Europe, but BATCo is not responsible for the latter two markets. evitalisation of Kent in Europe is being reviewed by Ken The B & W. A TOVof Kent Lights and Ultra Lights is being conducted by B & V in Switzerland, Belgium, France, Italy, Spain, and Germany, with a view to possible launches from July 1991 onwards. Kent may also be relaunched in Argentina, and will continue to be supported in Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, and Chile. Successful development of US brands within Europe will require a common approach by BAT operating groups to sponsorship and THO of the above brands. 1.4 DEPLOYMENT QF UK AND USIB IN DOMESTIC MARKETS BATCo I long-standing operating company domestic markets are unlikely to be the source of any quantum leap in profit growth. Nevertheless, particular attention will be focussed an a number of markets where recovery opportunities could impact BATCo I profit growth. These are: Austral - 1990 sales 10.4 bn. Slow market share growth foreseen from 8 & H, and potential launch of Kent, Barclay, and JPS Milds. Reduction of price discounting and increased productivity will reinforce profit growth. NJ Malaysia - 1990 sales 5.0 bn. Share recovery targeted by focus on LSF, Kent and 8 & H, and by potential launch of JPS, and SE100s. 7 BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 Kem - 1990 sales 6.9 bn. Growth of total market will depend on BATCo I 5 ability to increase volume in line with smoking population. Potential launch of PGL. Spain - 1990 sales 4.7 bn. A new market t7 beaeXploited by focus an LSF, and by potential I aunch of Kent, Barc ay nd Kool . Venezuela - 1990 sales 13.8 M. Recovery of market share will be maintained by potential launch of LSF and Kent, and profit growth achieved through more realistic price increases. Argentinj - 1990 sales 18.6 M. Real price increases are key to profitability growth. Launches of Koo and possibly Barclay, and relaunch of LSF, to be evaluated. 2. COST COMPETITIVENESS Low or zero market growth and constraints on real price increases make continuing cost competitiveness a condition of survival, let alone profit growth. Further cost savings will be effected by factory rationalisation, by increased productivity, by control of crop expenses, and by elimination of unnecessary overheads. 2.1 FACTORY AND PRODUCTION RATIONALISATION After closure of Liverpool, Semarang and Amsterdam, further factory closures are being reviewed in Bangladesh, Nigeria, and Pakistan (Karachi PMD) . The scope for further rationalisation, particularly in free trade areas, namely, EC, EFTA, Southern Africa and Central America, is to be evaluated. in order to satisfy potential demand for exports, Southampton capacity will be increased from 18 bn to 25 bn p.a. by end 1992. The maximum possible capacity of the Southampton site is being investigated. It is proposed to expand Hong Kong from 8 bn to 16 bn P. a. and Singapore from 6 bn to 8 bn p.a. Subject to MIE clausing, BATCo will work towards an export product sourcing strategy based on contracting to the most cost efficient Group producer able to maintain continuity of supply, and adequate quality standards. UK income will be max imi sed. The potential for using BAT's production facilities in Argentina, Chile, Venezuela, Cyprus, and possibly Germany and Brazil will be reviewed. Other significant investments planned in production facilities over the five year period include: Venezuela Primary - Modernisation, Productivity Switzerland Primary - Productivity Spain Secondary - Productivity, Modernisation Australia Reorpnisation - Madernisation, productivity & and DIET HO relocation Additional initiatives underpinning these strategies include: t%J - rationalising production specifications between operating C) companies, wherever this is feasible. 8 BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 . establishing a common Production source where machine utilisation is very low e.g. Super slim cigarettes. - working with machinery suppliers to minimise the time and cost of reacting to changes in demand, and of developing new machinery. 2.2 PRODUCTIVITY All operating companies are required to sustain quantified productivity improvements, through improved working methods, and machinery performance, and by rationalisation of service areas. Factories in Southampton, Australia, Spain, and Hong Kong are being targeted to improve productivity significantly by appropriate investment in high speed machinery, combined with optimum working methods. 2.3 CROP EXPENSES To hold leaf stock costs per kg below local inflation, BATCo operating companies involved in causing tobacco to be grown have been given objectives which call for the highest possible control on crop expenses and GLT expenses. Between 1998 and- 1989, crop yields improved by 6.5%, employee numbers reduced by 3.5%, and leaf crop expenses dropped by 7% as a percentage of NTO. On-going improvements are targeted with increased efficiencies and further reduced numbers of field staff. All operating companies involved now have standard procedures to monitor performance in reducing crop and GLT expenses. Levels and trends will be shown in future company plans. 2.4 OTHER COST REDUCTION MEASURES Initiatives to reduce the level of overhead expenditure within SATCo include: i. the reduction of BATCo HQ to a 'holding company' responsible for strategic direction, performance monitoring, and international co-ordination. The strategic management element will be relocated at Staim'. and the technical support in Southampton. The anticipated overall net annual benefit of relocation of the order of E2.5 mn p.a. has been included, but special expenditure on relocation of up to to. 5 mn is not included, in the trading profit projections for 1991 onwards. ii. a current review of the structure of BATUKE. iii. on-going review of the organisations within individual operating companies, in order to achieve flatter structures and smaller boards. 2.5 UK INCOME The continuing objective of maximising UK income will be reinforced by: i. Use of offshore production facilities to undertake contract manufacture of sales orders invoiced from the UK. 9 co BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 II. Continued monitoring of asset productivity, in order to real further opportunities for the disposal of surplus assets, for repatriation of blocked funds, and for capital reduction, and an on-going review of the opportunities for increasing T & A fees. III. Opportunities to improve SAT Industries' UK income by evaluation of the most advantageous way of earning profits generated overseas by B & W and BATCo. 3. ADDITIONAL GROWTH mm OPTIONJ On the basis of current strategies and exchange rate assumptions, described above, the preview projections do not met the 15% p. a. profit growth objective. Further investment in the market place seems unlikely by itself to bridge the gap, certainly in the short to medium tem. Additional growth strat options for existing operating companies are therefore propos ow for consideration. These have not been quantified in the preview projections. 3.1 CIGARS Expansion of BATCo's cigar interests by acquisition has been evaluated. A proposal to establish Henri intermans' leadership of the rapidly consolidating European cigar Industry, and to increase its profitability from an estimated POT of MS mn in 1990 to E20.0 mn in 1995 by acquisition of Agio, is the subject of a current strategy review paper being developed for submission to the - CPC. 3.2 PRICING STRATEGY In Europe and parts of the Far East, prices can in principle be increased above local inflation levels without prejudicing volume levels, although the low priced segment in some markets is threatening to impact on the premium brands. In the GT markets, products will be pl aced at premium prices in order both to maximise profits and to avoid disruption of other markets. In Latin America, Africa, and the Sub-Continent, sales volumes in a large number of markets (15) declined or remained static over the last decade, despite population growth, as a result of price increases to cover excise rises and cost inflation, and to meet profit expectations, viz: 1, ? BARD Sales im South America 42.5 (bns) 40.4 Central America 12.0 10.0 Africa 24.6 24.4 Bangladesh/Ceylon 15.0 14.4 As a consequence, it my be possible to exploit volume growth .potential in those domestic markets by withholding price increases on local brands. This is currently being researched, particularly NJ the potential impact on profits and ROM. CD __4 - 10 co BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 Excise duty is the most significant element of the retail selling price of tobacco products. Excise structures and excise rites change frequently influencing the overall pattern of smoker demand for tobacco products. Now initiatives are being taken to be more proactive in influencing excise changes to BATCo I advantage. 3.3 DEVELOPMENT OF LEAF EXPORTS The current world demand for good quality filler and fl avour tobaccos will offer the potential for developing leaf exports. Twelve BATCo operating companies, mostly assisted by tobacco merchants, have developed leaf export markets, five in flue-cured (4,600 tons), five in burley (7 800 tons), and five in fire-cured (3,100 tons), with total estimated sales of 15,500 tons in 1990, and an order of magnitude value of US$45 million, with the potential to generate an average trading profit margin of 20%. Those companies (excluding Venezuela) have potential for expansion in the following tobaccos: Flue cured - Argentina, Bangladesh, Kenya and Uganda Burley - Chile, Guatemala, Honduras, Panama and Argentina. Fire cured - Kenya, Uganda, Zaire, Ghana and Sierra Leone. The above companies will be given objectives to generate the necessary quality and quantity of tobaccos to establish profitable leaf export businesses, particularly as an alternative to diversification. The potential for additional intra-group sales will be reviewed. The potential exports from these countries could reach 20 million kg (USS60 million). Other BATCo operating companies have the potential to export, as shown below, but need first to satisfy domestic supply/demand before exports can be considered: Flue Cured - Venezuela Burley - Sri Lanka, Indonesia, El Salvador, Nicaragua and Venezuela. Fire Cured - Indonesia The maximum potential exports from these countries could reach 3 million kg (USS7.5 million). The new capital investment needed to meet the above development potential is being reviewed. Requirements could include a new GLT in Indonesia, packing presses in Zaire and Ghana, and upgrading facilities in Panama and El Salvador. The other operating companies mentioned are either geared to the additional volume suggested, or are already making the major capital investment requ ire . 4. OTHER DEVELOPMEM Other opportunities to expand the core business by joint venture, which are being pursued or evaluated, include: NJ CD i. Hungary - Potential participation with Pecs in the planned privatisation of a factory. CC) Un BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999 -.1 II. Turkey - A possible joint venture with TEXEL. III. Bulgaria - Preliminary discussions with the Bulgarian Tobacco Min-opoly on a possible Joint venture. W. Mexico - Re-entry options are being evaluated. v. Other tobacco operations - The opportunity to strengthen BATCo I brand portfolio by acquisition of, or merger with, other tobacco operations, or by purchase of brand rights, is becoming increasingly limited. In Europe, where rationalisation of brand rights is necessary to resolve increasing conflicts caused by split ownership, it may be opportune to seek to secure for RAT one or more of the following advantages from American Brands and/or Gallaher: a domestic base for B & H, and resolution of the B & H trade mark problem in Europe, the use of Lucky Strike and Pall Mall in France, use of Silk Cut worldwide, and strengthening of BATCo's cigar interests. Closer co-operation with Gallaher could lead to opportunities for factory rationalisation and Increased leaf exports, relief of BAT's ACT problem, and alleviation of the 1oss of intra-EEC duty free. 5. DIVERSIFICATION Apart from the activities of associates in Denmark and India (where ITC will seek to real its investment in hotels), BATCo's non-tobacco activities consist of two snack food companies in Chile and South Africa, Malloa in Chile, and a number of small agri-based operations in Indonesia, Malaysia, Sri Lanka and Venezuela in support of the tobacco operations. A trading company, whose principal objective is to generate foreign exchange, will serve as a channel for produce from Latin American and Asian companies to the North American and European markets. BATCo has no overall diversification strategy beyond the Organisation of appropriate activities, on a company by company basis, where necessary to generate forei exchange for the importation of raw materials and the payment Tdividends to the UK. BATCo will take a more proactive approach to identifying opportunities for financial services. Fall There may be a need to establish countertrade arrangements, in order to support long term export opportunities to, and investment in, Eastern Europe, USSR, and possibly in future China. The most appropriate mechanisms, external and in-house, to facilitate this expansion will be evaluated. 19th October 1090 r-J C) - 12 - 00 Ul BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 23 April 1999