TALK TO 'CONFERENCE MARKETING LOW DELIVERY PRODUCTS 19.1.82 THE TOBACCO INDUSTRY 6 ITS IMPACT ON SCIENTIFIC & MEDICAL ATTITUDES AND OPINION Low delivery products have origin in S&H. Two subjects inextricably linked. Started in 1950's - now very active. But despite unprecedented research And the publication of much statistical evidence Causation has not been established. Mainly as a result, Industry has successfully defended lo C) + law suits in the USA. But throughout this period Industry has remained essentially silent on the basic issue. This silence has been widely interpreted as an admission or sign of guilt: But in reality, much of the published statistical evidence produced in this period, and indeed subsequently, has been and is still contributory - and merely serves to continue the general controversy on the smoking and health issue. The statistical data from epidemiological studies covers a wide range of groups of individuals - but the conflicting nature of the evidence has given rise to a growing controversy. Despite this controversy, certain views have been advanced that there is a risk that is related to the number of cigarettes smoked per day. As a result of these, views (albeit challenged in certain medical/scientific circles) many Government and health authorities have advocated that cigarettes should be modified to give lower deliveries of tar, nicotine and other smoke components. co BAT Co LTD MINNESOTATOBACCOLITIGATION -2- The public have heard these views and have also shown an interest in lower smoke deliveries. Accordingly, Industry has developed and marketed an expanding range of low delivery Products in response to the views of Governments and consumers. Now, after some 10-20 years of increasing use of low delivery products Many Governments and health authorities believe that there is strong evidence that such products are indeed associated with reduced risk. SLIDE ELC 8 ;ut one should note that only future prospective epidemiological studies can give evidence about present day products.- SLIDE ELC 23 One must repeat, however, that neither this evidence, nor the basic link of smoking and health, is universally accepted. A number of eminent scientists, past and present, believe that at worst the association is secondary to, eg -genetic predisposition -personality type -environment SLIDES ELC 7 ELC 24 ;ome US and UK researchers even predicted in the 1950 1 and 1960 1 that lung cancer would start to fall in the 1970 , - irrespective of any change in smoking habit. But the anti-smoking protagonists have - in a highly orchestrated/professional way - developed the proposition that every smoker is seriously damaging his health/shortening his life. They see the 'Smoking Controversy' as merely an artefact of the Tobacco Industry. Lung cancer has clearly been the major/emotive concern. But heart disease is, if anything, now being given greater emphasis. co BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION -3- Let us briefly compare and contrast the evidence - using the pioneering BHA Doctors 20 year study. SLIDE ELC 27 There is also the fact that incidence of lung canc, er and heart disease does not show a simple relationship with smoking incidence: Continent to continent SLIDE B 2 Country to country - eg WHO re Europe State to state in USA Also QUOTE latest Norwegian study. Interesting to quote recent statement by Dr Gio Gori SLIDE ELC 21 Despite such well-documented (controversial) evidence the fervent anti-smokers are prepared to make almost any claim no matter how fatuous: - Times Health Supplement re Heart SLIDE H 7 - Comments re CO SLIDE CO 5 - Lancet/Times re CO SLIDE CO 7 - Medical encyclopedia QUOTE - Sunday Observer - PaSsive/35 Cigs SLIDE M 2&3 With this background, what should be the approach of the Tobacco Industry? Is there now a need to try to influence the medical and scientific attitudes and opinion? NOTE: the recent UICC statement SLIDE BS 3 C= BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTATOBACCOLITIGATION - 4 - RAT has given very serious thought to the above questions. Starting at CAC Conferences Then the combined thinking and efforts of Legal (Millbank and B&W) I PA and R&D Departments. Conclusions have been: (1) Yes - we must try to develop a different approach. (2) That approach should be based on an increased dialogue with Governments, doctors, employees on: - the lower delivery cigarettes - the high level of research - the opinions of third party authorities - the S&H issue itself. I must stress that our approach has been dictated by the views of Governments and by the demands of consumers in the many countries in which we operate. I must also emphasise that we have been careful not to be selective as to the statistical evidence we discuss. Finally I and others believe we must be free to communicate product modifications to our consumers - and certainly that we should act while we still have the chance. Mention extreme of the US and UK ads SLIDES Al, A2 Now I indicate the two key points: SLIDE SS 4 (1) the products have changed (2) third party opinions which industry does not and must not. adopt for itself. co BAT Co LTD MINNESOTATOBACCOLITIGATION -5- Wh at then have we done to date? Blue Book plus video Employees booklet UK Parliamentary brochures and film Film on passive smoking ........ 0 and many talks SLIDE ES I Bob Ely will already have indicated the general outline of our approach. SLIDE BS 2 The basic approach can be summarised SLIDE BS 5 The reaction has been consistently positive QUOTE; SMA Letter Royal College of General Practitioners letter Pe tch letter Competitor Industry reaction has been varied: - PM, Rothmans, Rentsma, Imperial - seem interested to find a way - Reynolds seem still 'flat Earth' Clearly the legal position - especially USA - Is the key concern. We believe it is possible to discuss the issues and the facts without jeopodising the Industry. The US law firms who defend the industry in law suits have yet to agree the way, and it is essential that we have their approval before proceeding in any public sense. Latest position December 1981 New York SHB/JNF/PW/B&W/BAT Follow up this Friday Repeated statements that our objectives are the same, but the =p method of achievement must be cautious. %-0 co -CDs. BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION -6- Two main points were requested: (1) Stress 'other interpretations' (2) Link Industry action to Government evidence/pressurer and to consumer demand but not to medical opinion. IN CONCLUSION Low delivery products will surely continue to assume increasing importance. QUOTE: Prof Cain SLIDE SB Alan Heard - and later other GR&DC staff - will give you some idea of the way GR&DC is supporting the development of low delivery products. %O co Jhft r*j -PAN. BAT Co LTD MINNESOTATOBACCOLITIGATION