NO COPIES MAY BE MADE Tobacco Stratexy Review Team A meeting of the Tobacco Strategy Review Team was held on 30th November 1990. Present: Hr. P. Sheehy, Mr. M.F. Broughton, Mr. B.D. Bramley, Mr. R.J. Pritchard, Mr. U. Herter, Mr. P.J. Rombaut, Hr. J-L. Mercier, Dr. R. Salter (Secretary) Mr. A.L. Heard attended for items 35-51. 1. The minutes of the meeting held on 17th September were agreed. 2. Inter-Company Transfera It was noted that opportunities to broaden managers' experience and to transfer expertise through movements of staff between Group companies were being pursued actively. A meeting to review existing secoadments and to review progress on the identification of new opportunities and new candidates will be arranged by Mr. Bramley in mid-1991. The results of these reviews will be reported to the team in September 1991. 3. Representation In Overseas Plarkets : It was noted that in some markets where more than one Group company was represented, insufficient advantage was being taken of opportunities to reduce costs and improve efficiency by sharing office facilities, market information, market research, etc. It was agreed that Mr. Bramley, Mr. Pritchard and Mr. Herter would review the arrangements for their overseas representation and would report back to the next meeting on specific action being taken to improve co-ordiaation. 4. US International Brands : Mr. Pritchard reported that sales of USIB for the year would show a significant (13%) increase on 1989. The rate of increase in the second half of 1990 would be less than in the early part of the year but there were specific factors explaining this (e.g. the timing of the Chinese New Year; of launches in Japan; and of the opening of East European markets). Thus, it did not represent a slackening in the underlying momentum of growth in US International Brands. Brown & Williamson were committed to the objective of achieving 15% p.a. volume growth through identifying and fully exploiting market opportunities as these arose, worldwide. 5. For Xent, it was noted that a first evaluation of the Total Offer Tests in Europe would be made in mid-December. Assuming that this evaluation shows encouraging results, test markets are planned for 1991 with a pan-European launch in 1992. It was also noted that the launch in Brazil had been brought forward from 1992 to 1991. 6. Lucky Strike Lights was considered to have a good growth potential and would be available in 15 countries in 1991. A possible launch in Venezuela was being considered and Lucky Strike was making good progress in Brazil. Prospects in Europe were considered to be particularly good with significant progress in Germany and further launches planned for 1991. The Chairman underlined the importance of mounting a really effective sales drive for this brand, commensurate with its exciting prospects in the market. It was also important that the guidance on pricing and on blends was followed in each market to ensure the right positioning relative to Marlboro. 7. Mr. Bramley was asked to review the blends, pricing and distribution in Spain and to report back to the next meeting on action taken to improve quality, raise prices and strengthen distribution in this market. C" BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 25 October 1999 8. The Chairman stressed the importance of conforming to the approved blends for Kent and Lucky Strike worldwide and asked for reports for those markets where other blends were being used, outlining action in hand to change to the approved recipes. 9. For Barclay, it was agreed that it would be critical to avoid damaging the image of Barclay as combining full flavour with low deliveries. It was important, therefore, to be in a position to launch Barclay Ultra Lights (2mg) ahead of any change in the tar rating of the existing product. Revised strategies should be considered for those markets where it had been intended to launch a 5 mg rated product ahead of the 2mg version. The revised strategies for Barclay will be reviewed at the next meeting. 10. It was agreed that Capri and other superalim products would continue to be significant as niche products but, in future, progress should be reviewed at 6 monthly intervals rather than quarterly. 11. It was noted that Viceroy and Kool continued to be progressive in selected markets and it was suggested that further consideration should be given to the potential for expanding sales of Menthol cigarettes in the kfrica/Middle East region. 12. It was noted that Pa.11 Hall was important as a leading low-priced brand for Eastern Europe and for Germany. The Chairman stressed that it was important for the brand owner to control the blends. However, provided this was done, the markets should be supplied from the lowest cost source, subject to the further condition that the business must be profitable on a full cost rather than a marginal basis. Specific consideration should be given to supplying Fall Mall from Brazil. Details of the blend to be used will be supplied by Mr. Pritchard. 13. The 1991 Plans for the major US International Brands will be reviewed at the next meeting. In addition, Mr. Pritchard will also provide a note explaining the differences between the methods used to calculate the figures for US International Brands as presented by Brown & Williamson and BATCo. respectively. 14. UK International Brands : Mr. Bramley reported that although domestic sales of UK International Brands, apart from Players Gold Leaf (PGL), were static or declining, export sales of SE 555 and PGL were progressive and the declines in Benson & Hedges and JPS appeared to have been halted. Overall, sales of UK International Brands were continuing to expand. 15. For Benson & Hedges, it was noted that there had been good progress in France (0.9% market share) and the position in West Africa appeared to have stabilised. The evaluation of the potential for launching a Benson & Hedges American Lights had not been encouraging but as being looked at again in the context of the Malaysian market. 16. State Express continued to do well in the Par East. There was a need to redesign the pack for the Low Tar variants but it was agreed that the brand image was sufficiently strong to allow considerable latitude in design. 17. Smoking Quality was a continuing concern and it was agreed that in order to maintain the image of the International Brands, it was important that these were based on international blends. Every effort N-) should be made to negotiate an end to any restrictions (e.g. in Spain C:) and Malaysia) requiring the use of local leaf. r") r1 J co BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 25 October 1.999 18. Eastern Europe : Mr. Herter reported that even excluding East Germany, which is now part of the German domestic market, 1990 sales to Eastern Europe up to the end of October were 2.5 billion, which was over 50% ahead of the corresponding period in 1989. However, market conditions were becoming more difficult due to political uncertainties and a worsening economic situation. It was also noted that Philip Morris was still more successful in penetrating the markets and in expanding sales to duty free and hard currency outlets. 19. The USSR was being visited during the week and one purpose of the visit will be to set up the Moscow office. The Group had already established a range of contacts in the USSR and in addition to offers to the Central Import Agency, enquiries were also being received from traders who were believed to be supplying the market through counter-trade arrangements. 20. In Poland, increased taxes and punitive duties on imports were severely restricting business, especially in the hard currency outlets. Although there were some opportunities for imports from Brazil (which attacted lower rates of import duty), longer term expansion was likely to depend on manufacturing in Poland. 21. Mr. Herter had had talks with the works council of a factory in Poland which could be privatised and the next stage would be to send a formal proposal for a joint venture. Although the factory was smaller than the two leading manufacturing plants (which are in negotiation with Philip Morris and RJR), it appears to be reasonably efficient and has room for expansion. If the Group proposal were to be accepted, the likely level of investment would be around E4.5 million, which might be in the form of machinery. 22. The Chairman suggested that it would be helpful for Mr. Herter to seek assistance from a company in London which was known to the Group and which had experience of negotiating joint venture arrangements in Poland. Mr. Herter said he would do this ahead of sending the proposed letter of intent to the Polish Minister for Foreign Investment. In addition, it was noted that the Group should also be prepared to advise the Polish Government on excise structures, which appeared to be rudimentary at present. 23. Hungary : Mr. Bramley reported that a proposal for an investment in a factory at Pecs in Hungary was currently being considered by the State Property Agency. Although their response on this had been delayed, it was expected within the next few days. However, the change of Finance Minister in Hungary might cause a further delay. 24. Bulgaria : Following a visit to evaluate 3 factories in Bulgaria as potential investments, it was intended to send a letter of intent which Mr. Watterton hoped to discuss with the Bulgarian authorities in January. Mr. Watterton would also seek to identify export opportunities during his visit. 25. Leaf Advisory Team : Mr Bramley reported that the Leaf Advisory Team had been set up along the lines previously agreed and the team planned to visit Hungary, Poland and Bulgaria during January. It was hoped that by April next year, the team would be in a position to provide useful advice on Leaf growing in each of these countries. N) N) cc cc BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 25 October 1999 - 4 - 26. Vietnam -. Mr. Bramley reported that Mr. Watterton bad visited Vietnam and would return in January for further discussions on the potential for investment there. In the meantime, it was thought that there could be opportunities to promote exports of SE 555. 27. Bar=& : BATCo. had sent in an adviser to help the Burmese Government set up an excise structure. Although immediate opportunitites for increased trade or investment appeared to be limited, contacts with this market would be maintained. 28. SUTL : It was noted that BAT had been well known in Vietnam and Burma through SUTL and the Chairman suggested that a formal agreement with SUTL might be consfdered as a way to build on these contacts. 29. Mexico : Mr. Bramley reported that the Group's brands had been registered in Mexico and an import licence had been applied for. The potential for setting up a secondary manufacturing plant was also being investigated. Attempts were being made to buy back the rights to the Viceroy trademark but the current owners were resistant to this. 30. Turkey : Mr. Bramley reported that a meeting would be held early in December to progress the negotiations on a potential investment in Turkey. This project had now been handed over to Mr. Watterton and his team. 31. Brazilian Exports : It was noted that following a significant increase in 1990, the target for exports from Brazil in 1991 would be 3 billion, which was over double the volume achieved in 1989. The Chairman stressed the need to upgrade the staffing and expertise in this activity and it was noted that Souza Cruz are obtaining help from Brown & Williamson in this respect. It was asked that Souza Cruz should report progress at the next meeting, considering the price and profitability of exports as well as the volume. 32. Manufacturing Capacity : Following discussion of an initial survey of the present and potential capacity of the Group's main manufacturing facilities, it was suggested that further work was required both to establish where shortfalls might occur and also to establish where there was a potential for expansion to improve the overall productivity, cost-effectiveness and tax-efficiency in sourcing the Group's markets. 33. It was agreed that Mr. Kohnhorst should be asked to arrange a meeting of the Group's production directors and that he should produce a review for the May meeting of the team; showing the currently planned capacity and output of the Group's manufacturing facilities; identifying potential problems; and considering options for specific expansions to provide extra capacity and opportunities for more cost-effective and tax-efficient ways to meet overall Group demand. 34. The Chairman noted that Mr. Bannister at BATUKE had produced a good appraisal of the potential for expanding Southampton and suggested that a similar appraisal should be carried out for Bayreuth. He a.1 a o stressed the need for each company to ensure that machinery would be available to meet planned expansion and refurbishment up to 1995. It was also suggested that Souza Cruz should contact machinery manufacturers to try to encourage improved availability in Brazil of the equipment needed to update their manufacturing facilities.' N-) CD r1 l) r"i CX_1 BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 25 October 1999 35. F=damental Research Programme : Introducing the proposed programme for Fundamental Research, Kr. Heard said that there had been a change of emphasis with greater priority now being given to providing the scientific basis for improved product design. As a result, less priority was being given to regulatory issues and to speculative work on innovative products. The proposed allocation of effort was:- (a) Smoke Quality Improvement 35% (b) Innovative Products 20% (c) Regulatory Issues 28% (d) Environmental Issues 17% 36. After discussion, it was agreed that the proposed allocation of effort and the total budget of E3.885 million plus LO.296 million for the Scientific Research Group projects were acceptable. The proposals for the contributions from each company to funding the programmes was noted but before agreeing these it was asked that there should be a furthe r check by Mr. Broughton to ensure that the allocations are made in the most tax-efficient way. 37. Biological Activity : A specific issue discussed in the review of the research programme was the Group's position on testing for 'biological activity' by the Ames test and by other methods. It was noted that there is a continuing programme to monitor trends in the emergence of new bioassays and to develop expertise in those which may have relevance to tobacco products. It was also noted that despite the uncertainty associated with current in vitro tests and their applicability to complex systems, they could provide information both as to how people who use these tests may characterise Group products and as to whether further research is required. However, this does not imply acceptance of the validity of these tests. 38. Technical Liaison : Reviewing the current arrangements for technical liaison, it mas noted that the interchange of information on R&D and product development appeared to be working well but there was less confidence in the effectiveness in sharing information and expertise on manufacturing processes. 39. It was agreed that, wherever possible, technical liaison should be on an ad hoc basis and regular liaison meetings should be avoided. It was also suggested that it was better for the person responsible for an activity to be involved directly rather than having one person responsible for liaison over a range of subjects. While it was accepted that secondments were a very effective means for sharing experience in depth, these should be restricted to cases where there was a specific purpose related either to the transfer of specific expertise or to manager development. 40. The Chairman asked Mr. Bramley to arrange for a paper to be presented to the next meeting, detailing the technical liaison meetings which had occurred in 1989 and 1990, showing the location of each and the names of the people who had attended. Based on this, the team would then be asked to decide whether there was a case for reducing the number of meetings and whether the attendance at future meetings ought to involve a wider spectrum of people. N) ... CD N) 00 CD BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 25 October 1999 41. Regulatory Issues - Smoking on Aircraft : Mr. Bramley introduced a paper suggesting approaches which Group companies might take when faced with the possibility of airlines introducing bans on smoking. It was agreed that the paper would be useful as general guidance for use by individual companies and should be made available to them for use in this way. It was also suggested that an additional point to be made was that the airlines gained from smoking bans through reduced administrative and cleaning costs. Hence they would not be judging the issue entirely from their customers' point of view. 42. US Environmental Protection Agency : It was noted that the US Environmental Protection Agency had produced two draft reports on Health Effects of Passive Smoking and Environmental Tobacco Smoke in Workplaces. Mr. Pritchard reported that these were now being considered by the Government's Scientific Advisory Board (SAB). He will report the reactions of the SAB at the next meeting. 43. Sidestream Smoke : Objectives for reducing sidestream smoke will be reviewed in February 1991. 44. Smoking Compendiums : It was noted that the Smoking and Health Compendiums will be reviewed and updated in January 1991. 45. The Additives Register will be completed in the first quarter of 1991. 46. Green Issues : It was noted that the main issue likely to be of significance to the Group was the attitude to packaging and the related work in the European Commission which could lead to a Directive, based on proposed German legislation, to make retailers responsible for the collection of packaging used on products which they sell. It was agreed that developments in attitudes to packaging would be a key issue to be monitored by the Croup. 47. Valdez Charter : It was noted that there was increasing pressure in the USA for major companies to sign an environmental charter based on the 'Valdez Principles'. The Secretary was asked to report back on the possible significance of this to B.A.T Industries. 48. Products Incorporating Y-1 Tobacco : Mr. Pritchard reported that products incorporating Y-1 Tobacco were undergoing tests, the results of which would be reported at the next meeting. Mr. Herter reported that tests of BATCF products were due in 1991 and BATCo. also reported that Y-1 was being evaluated. 49. The Blenders Handbook had been completed and Mr. Pritchard would arrange for this to be circulated throughout the Group. The handbook would be treated as a high security document and this would be reflected in the way in which it was distributed and subsequently held. 50. Ammonia Technology - Decomposition Products : It was reported that the project to characterise the decomposition products of cigarettes containing materials subjected to ammonia treatment is due for completion by mid-1991. Results of tests to date have not given cause for concern. 51. Use of Reconstituted Stem : It as agreed that the project to evaluate the benefits of incorporating stem in the form of reconstituted sheet should be completed as soon as possible. Assuming that this shows that the use of sheet is beneficial, plans should be prepared for meeting the requirement for sheet in Europe, drawing on the experience of Brown & r1l) Williamson who have sheet made for them by Kimberly Clark. CD r1 l) co 411 BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 25 October 1999 52. Leaf Supplies : It was noted that reviews of the likely availability of tobacco in 1991-1992 had suggested that shortages could develop, especially in Burley. It was agreed that all companies should ensure that orders were placed as early as possible in 1991, sufficient to cover the total requirement for 1992. If there are any shortfalls, action should be put in hand immediately to expand supplies within the Group (e.g. in Brazil and Nicaragua). 53. Grade Rationalisation : It was noted that the working of the Leaf Grade rationalisation scheme was due for review in May 1991. 54. Current Trading : Reviewing the results for the Group's tobacco businesses up to the end of the third quarter,.Mr. Broughton drew attention to the increase in volume which, for the full year, was expected to be 14 billion higher than in 1989, despite an assumed 3 billion reduction in trade loading in the USA. Trading profits were also expected to show an increase compared with 1989 despite an adverse movement in exchange rates. 55. It was noted that R&TCo. were hoping for a significant increase on 1989 despite adverse effects due to exchange rate movements and an economic downturn in Africa. Spain had performed better than expected. Market share and profits had increased in India in local currency but this had been offset by the devaluation of the Rupee. 56. Brown & Willi,sinson were also hoping to meet their profits budget but volume could be slightly below budget. The results were adversely affected by the expected intention of Philip Morris to increase trade loading as the pressure grows for their tobacco brusinesses to compensate for reduced growth in their food businesses. 57. BATCF profits before tax were DM5 million below budget at the end of the 3rd Quarter but were expected to meet the budget for the full year. 58. So=& Cruz me expecting to achieve a market share of 81% for the full year but there would be a negative variance on profits due to price controls on cigarettes and the adverse effect of an overvalued Cruzeiro on Leaf exports. The current trend was for the Cruzeiro to devalue which would be good for exports but would have an adverse effect on the translation of profits. 59. Imperial's market share had increased to 60% and Operating Profits were expected to be Can$11 million better than budget. However, industry volumes were down 4.5% on the year and this trend was expected to continue. 60. Management Development : Mr. Broughton reported that the project to review the arrangements for management training and development had been set-up and would be co-ordi:nated by Mr. McBeath. The main part of the work would be carried out by two secondees, one from Tobacco and one from Financial Services but it was also intended to use consultants to collect data on current practices both within BAT and in other companies. 61. it was noted that it was likely that the consultant to be used would be Bill Laidlaw, who had worked for Rothmans and was now a partner in Mosaic, a small independent consulting firm specialising in this field. N) c0 BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 25 October 1999 - a - 62. It. was agreed that the person seconded to the project should be a high potential manager in 30-40 age group and should preferably not be a personnel specialist. A specific nomination was made which will be followed-up by Mr. Broughton. 63. The Chairman asked that the team should be provided with progress reports as the project developed. 64. Marketing Directors Sexinar : The Chairman thanked the members of the team for their suggestions for issues which might be considered by a future marketing directors' seminar. The arrangements for this seminar will now be progressed from the Centre. 65. Dates of Future Meetings Meetings in 1991 will take place on 'Wednesday, 27th February; Thursday, 30th May; Friday, 6th September; and Monday, 2nd December. F,S/DJA 12 th December 1990 N) N) N) 00 BAT Industries document for Province of British Columbia 25 October 1999