k4 l 77,~ SMOK---'VG AND HEALM ASSTU-ITTIONS 1. The asscciat~on oF smok4ng with var4ous diseases will continue to be a "ajol to t*--e tobacco industry. 2. There w:.2.1 be no sudden scientific solution in t~ae foreseeable futt=e. 3- It is L:zl!.ke;y ttat theze will be a single product 7 design solutlon. 4. Consume--s will continue to expect zhe industry to mitigate any har_-ful e-f-fects its -Droducts ma:,-, have. The che-4cal in-Austry will cont:Lnue to take some interest 121i tobacco s-cbstit--Utes. I -. i s Lzz-- -- J k e -, y t- 1-- a t t 'I-- e z- -3 w i 11 b a s uc _4 e _n o w _-, e d 8- e a--,-: medical nadvice available before the ene- of 1975 to enable Positive act_~on to .be 13suea _i- rela-~-_:on to tobacco Sul.ostitutes. 7. It will not be DcsSible to conf-i----r con-,:-==-=- ac~epta=-:-? of tcbacco S--:':)st4_-,;utes *Lntil they h_ave been on sale fcz at leazz a yes.-_ I wi- 1 - -a be cozisiiared b~ doe-z-)rs to be Ti c o tin -z . ~._ cont~ue . 1-s hazmful -.c the o--.' =scars t!aS_r1 'Ca=. 9. Carbon zsn-o-_,:~.de will become increas-Lip-17 rec-`eJ as a serious ~iealth hazard f= smokers. 10. Wit-out Lnhalati-on ci.-_--ette smoking will present ne.-Ifg-n-e health z-_-'sks. 11. Man will continue to use psycho-pharmacoloSical aids, includiza~ cigarettes. 12. Smoking will beco=e an Lacreasingly unacceptable social habit. -13. On legal grounds alone, it will continue to be to the industr-,:-'s advantage not to make explicit health claims. 1 L. The industry will make increasingly compet-Lti-.re use of productS for which health claims are i=l-Jed. L14 CD CONT/ ...... Q_D BATCo document for Province of BritiSh Columbia 29 October 1999 ...... /COITT - 2 - 15. Reduction in b:Lological activity per cigaxette (rather than specific activity) will continue to be accepted by doc-cors as desirable. 16. Passive smokiza~ will become more i=po:7taat. as an issue. 17. Ant-4-smoking restrictions, legal or voluntary, will ncrease. 18. There w411 be "no valid evidence that current ci3arette advertisiag 3_zczeases total consumption. 19. Smo_klng during preFnanc.-, will become =ore --;--Dorl,;ant as an issue. 20. There will eve-=ua-117 be publication of tar and nicotine J_~ozmation -more countries and publicatlon maj- also include the gas t)aase. 2-1. ~cdifications to the product will have mo=s credibil- :-or t'2e consu==-z if he_~--th a-_ithoritie5 are seen to have been involved. :--e 'adustry ma1ce Jnczeas-- use of -"--e smok_J-;: and nes--th s-ituati3n for mark-e-~;:.ng pur7poses- 2 'r""e robacco _inz"_~S`Ury W be bette" az-z 7z; defend itSelf -:,o-- attacks 11-7, opponemtS of S=okiziz --if presem-,Z a front. 2 ~_ The_-e will be continue,'- aff=tS by Pliiiii-n ",arriz to the in-d-4stz-7. tcwar-d= more '_-greslve apprJaca. health autiioz_ U 'd L. =,5 2 ~~. The ~,~iewS of medic;il A-~ -~tia4 (i-cl zmc=a i-q Gover=_-ent ser-74ce) -influence Goverr=en-: ac7loa asainst the industry. Z5. An _4-_~~lexible LM-dustz-j- at-z;itludle, resultizgl :La challenging ,;=e validity of all the evidence against s::ok:Lng, create hostil_J~~Y for the industry among intelligent and fair-minded people. 27. Managers in Co-.menies, and particulaxly No. Is, wil' be asked questions about t1ae smoki-ag and health issue. 28. The industry will continue to be critcised for spend.~ =Uc:i more on advertising than on health research. 2 c'~. VoLintary concessions by t!ie industry will not -prevent' concessions being demanded. CD CD BATCo document for Province of BritiSh Columbia 29 October 1999