CONFIDENTIAL TOTAL PRODUCT DESIGN SUMNLUM PRCcamw REy= (JANUARY 1978 - MY LW9) Suvmt (ML=gement 36r'riCAM DepU-b=Mt, Millba"k-) I. VboduLrd (LeLf DepLrtment. lftllbank) Dr. T. RLrjj (GroW R & D C)mntre, Augufft, Mg BATCo LTD MINNESOTATOBACCOLITIGATION CONFIDENTIAL CHUN= iNnlc=ICN Suisun 1.B&T (UR & Zgport) 2.fifalaysian Tobu= CbmpLny 3.Wills (Now Zaaland) 4.Wills (Australia) 5.Imperial Tobacm Ltd. (Can-ds) 6.R&T BLmburg 7.Brown and Williamson (USA) S. So=& Cruz (Bra--' 1) CCNMMICNS REVIEW CP PROGRESS 1.BAT (UK & Rqxrt) 2.U.T.C. (ULiarma&.) 3.Wills (Now Zealand) 4.Wills (Australia) 5.Imperial Tab%cco Ltd (Canada) 6. 'Brown VUl"ammon (UU) AECENMU Further 'Work co BAT Co LTD MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION INTRODUMCK A cigarette may conveniently be v:LewW as =1prising three components - the leaf blend, the pLper and the filter. The high degree of interaction between these components makes the job of the product designer a. complex one. The Total Product Design (TM) procedures bring these three elements of cigarette design together in L VRY that enables the product designer to explore a range of feasible blends, papers or filters independently or in combination, vith the aid of a computer. The product design problmm which the TM systems seek 'to solve wee many forms, ranging from designing a totally cow product meeting a marketing brief, to changing a single performance ek-Acteristic, e.g. changing the nicotine delivery of an ezisting product under the constraint of leaving the blood (ccmbi ris tion al leaf grades) unchanged. Major oonstraiuts governing the availability of paper types, filter tows and tobacco "es have also to be coped with. Single and multi-blend models biLve been devised. lberms the single-blend leaf model handles the development of individual blends, the multi-blend model produces recipies for up to the full range of a compLny's blends within the constraints of current stocks and future purchases. This brings the TM blending models into direct involvement with the control and management of lea.f stocks and purchases. Therefore, efforts have been made to promote the use of additional programs vd3ich evaluate the consequences of current and future recipies (determined by the blender) and purchases an leaf durations. These duration programs exist in some form in a few cr-runies but it is felt that they could be use extended in scope to include projected values of blend deliveries and costs. Such progr-2- are now being developed centrally in MillbLnk. In recent years, imcrea.sing attention bas been focused on product design due to -re intense market and ecowai pressures. With the proliferation of league tables and the tendency towards their covering a widening range of smoke , 1, cents, e.g. carbon monoxide and nitric omide, together with demand pressures for certain leaf "es and the availability of mare complex paper and :ft1ter constructions. the came for computei-based systems to aid the blender and product designer is becoming more Co BAT Co LTD MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION 2 CONFIDENTIAL At their meeting on 27th January, 1M , the Ifillbank Product Development Commi ttee agreed that the use of the TdW Product Design (TYD) procedures should be validated in selected operating catzpanies. The bw r1tories sixggested were:- M 'U. K. (ii) C%m nmr4a (iii) Malaysia Uv) South Africa (V) Bra=Ll To date, work bas been carried cut with the companies in the UK, Canada and Malaysia. In addition, the opportunity has arisen 'to pay working visits to New Zealand end Australia, and there bave been discussJ ons with Brown & Will' -m-on and SAT (Hamburg). In order to evaluate the TM procedures in tbese 'territories, a tes- Was got UP 4, . I I mal ng one represents tive each from Group R & D Centre (Southampton), Ahnagement Services Department (Mllbankc) and Leaf Department (Millbank). The content of the TM progr@ and the ways in shich companies were advised to use tbm were the jcdLnt responsibility of R & D, MSD and Teaf Department. NED (OR Ckxxp) were responsible for carrying out the systems design, computer programming, documentation, etc. and for advising ox=enies on the implementation of TPD computer systems and their relation to other leaf and materials -nagement system. The programs were designed to be up-dated to incorporate azy further research findings of GR & DC as these develop. Leaf Department's responsibility was to ensure the utility, of the leaf models to the user (the leaf blender/product developer), and to advise him on its practical application and its relation 'to his overall blending and leaf policy. This report summarises the three progress reports covering T-PD work from early 1978 to June 1979. In the cases of BAT (UK & E), Malaysia Toba6ca Company and Wills (New Zealand), the report on the practical work carried cut during the visits has been agm-eed w1th these compLaies. co BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION CONFIDENTIAL 3 SUM"n 1. BAT UK & EXPORT The assessment stage, which 'took place during the BH export blend improvement exercise (Project Nostalgia), is judged 'M bave beea completed with the leaf model having generated blender-approved blends for =mple production and in-bol-ft testing. At 71blang's request, the leaf model of the TPD system bLS been made fully operational and will be used routinely in combination with their recently revised lest stock control and planning programs. 2. MALAYSIAN TOBACM COMPANY The TPD team visited MM in July, 1978 and, having demonstrated the single-blend leaf model, left behind a range of blends to be evaluated. MTC subsequently premsed on with a modi fled version of their multi-blend model, incorporating features of the TYD made]. A return visit was requested by NMC, and during this visit experiences ww e excbsnzed on the single and multi-blend models which were used to assi st in the determination of the 1979-crop North American leaf purchase. Potentially nwDre effective blending models were tben part-imy installed and revised Paper and filter models introduce. Initial experience vas gained of the integrated use of the blending models with MM's new computerised leaf stock control system, and now the systems are being used in real-time, tackling day-to-day problems. 3. W.D. & H-0. W= (NEW ZMAND) The visit of the TPD team to New ZeLland in September 1978 saw the introduction of the technique. '1he 'Wills =nagement welcomed this as it provided R, fresh look at their leaf-blending and costing systems. A range of alternative blends was produced for the two major brands which lead to revised blending strategies and substantial cost savings. Further blend developent work proceeded after the visit. At Wills' request a return visit took place in May 1979, to consolidate the work of the first visit and to Install the multI-blead model. Wills bLve no computer--based systems to assist in leaf stock management and control which would rmplement the TYD blendil* models. Therefore, at their request, MM Mill1unk is developing a s7stem tor them, the TPD 'team braving explained the concepts of integrated leat systems. The revised pLper and filter model was introduced and tested out au= illy on a current delivery reduction dendgn problem. The current situation is, therefore, that the alngle-blend, paper and filter models are being Lmed optionally while the multi-blend and leaf stock control models are being developed. -J co BAT Co LTD NIINNESOTAT013ACCO LITIGATION CONFIDENTIAL - 4 - 4. W.D. & H.Q. vnia (AUSTPAMA) P0110WIng introductory di=ussions with 'W. y@eeling (Imf Elmder) Wd V. Vi=eDt (Product Designer) in Hillbank in Novamber lgM, meant Interest was expressed to justify thLt the TyD team Visit Sydney. in ilLy 1979 an its return from Now Zealand. DIring the visit there were discussions cc gengral approach-_g to product design and leaf blending, as well as 00 m=e detailed subJects such as the me of an extended list of blend constraints and ttke problem of leaf Stock management. The multi-blend and fIlter/paper models were set-up and tested and data prepared so that Wills are able to assess the full range of Tpo techn.1ques. S. IMPERIAL TIOBAOCO CAMOA The Imperial Blender, A.P. Schaffer, visited England in MLy IgM and the applicability of the TYD leaf model to the ITL situation 'Was exam' ned, iad ng rM grade daLtL. ITL's major blend was briefly exa-1 ned. but time did not permit the full assesment of the blends produced. It was agreed at that "me, hmmver, that the results looked promising, and that it Ms proposed the Tr-D team should visit Qlagrin to identify and tackle L SPOCilie problem, and also to OOMPLre the TPD filter and paper models with the models developed by ITL. ITL have since inclined towards the longer term, more Sorb4sticated resea-rch orientated line into grade and blending matching, and to that end a visit to Montreal vas made by Dr. Book of R & D in June 1979. It is hoped that ongoing work in this area will lead to a better understanding of the use Of qUL1itat1ve constraints on blends. 6. BAT HAMBURG In the event two membem of R & D visited Hamha% for two days in March, 19179. DiscussJons 'with the LAaf Department covered blending methods currently in use and the plans alre&dy on tonA :for computerized leaf stock management system, the first of which is due to become Operational at the beginning Of 1980. The concep+.s underlying blend modelling were discussed, though not TFD as such, but, in light of the Previous discussions, the visitors felt they could not recoemmd the adoption of TYD to Hamburg at this stage. Aspects Of TyD other ++mu the blend models ware bowever discussed with Hamburg's R h D department and Mutually useful arms identified, and a. follow-up visit to GR & Dr- by Dr. Schneider is planned. Also, :foundations for further contact betveOn the UM's ccf Hamburg and Millbartir have been laid. 7. BROWN& WnzIAMqW Dr - Hook visited B & W for a week in June 1979 to diScuss, -=Gg other things, product development and system for patoduct degdga. It became apparent that B & W brave not yet men, and are not ax yet convinced ot the benefits of the TFD models. TbG:Lr co,, leaf Stock management and control system in shortly to become operational. It ma propoged, hOwever, that a, member Of B L W Should visit GR & DC to explore the potential value to 8 & V of blend modelling approaches. co co 13AT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION JW dM C-13 C=) ram- FL cr Ca Et 68i I 100 I I CONFIDENTIAL CONC=ICNS In Wh of the tbLrft OOMPwien which the TPD tesm bas visited to implement and raduate the TPD 8"twe in depth (BAT (UX & Z), Wills (NZ) Lad iM, the subwqwnt asawametnt by the local managemat validates the introduction of the systems and their usefulness as an Lid to product design. This 1A endorsed by, the fact tbmLt all three are, or will shortly be, Using at least part of the system to solve real-time Probler-q on a routine basis. The Implementation of the system bad already produced targible remlts and benefits in the form of cost savings and Improved leaf information Lod planni na Systems. TYD can been seen as a management tool which can be directed towards investigating the options open, and towards achieving any one of a mm*)er of objectives. It would mm that from the needs of the operating compnies men so far, the leaf model of the TPD system will be required to intmmet with the leaf-stock management wpiteim of the company concerned to get full value from it. TbLis development work Ls being carried on apace in MTC, BAT (UK & E) and )ED Millbank. The technical problems of setting up and running the system bave been overcome to the ex-tent that lea-f blenders themselves can operate and control the programmes. 7he utility of the Tr-D models is currently being assessed by Wills (Australia) over a wide range of blend constraints. Urect application of the present models is not foreseen in Conads, the USA and Germany, but contact will be retained. The exercises attempted so tar have all been in compenies manufacturing predominantly Virginia cigarettes With a wide flexibility of choice in their leLf purchases, i.e., they import tobacco. At some stage it will be advisable -to assess the system with a manufacturer of blended cigarettes and also in a. market whetre predominantly domestic tobacco is utilized. Several companies in the Group have foreseen the wed for more formal control in their product design and leaf-stock management procedures, especially w1th the increasing wimber of complex factors involved, and are Working towards that objective. 7hese trends are expected to continue to develop. Recommendations for further work together with the views of the PM are appended. -J BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION CONFIDENTIAL - 7 - REVM OF PROGRESS 1 - BAT (UK & ECPM) At the being of 1978, BAT (TJK and Export) wexe planning to Cal"ry out a reblending exercise (Project Nostalgia) co one of their major export brainds, B & H Pilter Kimgs. The object of the project was to improve the B & H blend, if necessaxT at slightly higher blend cost. It was agreed with BAT (UK and Export) that *hi a would be a suitable project on which to carry out the first application of the TPD system. The first stage of the project, which started in Lurch 19M, was to generate "on paper" a variety of alternative blends spanning a wide range of blend characteristics determined by the LAmLf Blender. Fman these blends, as stage two, seven blends would be choose by, -the blender and made up as samples for evaluation by an accompany panel of makers and by, R L D Southampton. Stage three would involve the consumer testing of the two products most preferred. Out of over one hundred computer-generLted blends examined in stage one, seven acceptable 'an-paper' blends were selected by the blender to cover cost increases of between 0 and 7 pence/lb. and a range of other characteristics alch as the proportion of N. American leat used and nicotine delivery, all of which lead to appreciable smWw differences. During the in-boum testing, the seven bleindle were --4md ,against each other and against the given brief benchmarks - Swiss B H-, Gallaher I a B & H and current BAT (UK & E) B & H.. Two of the blender-selected computer-generated blends were preferred to all these benchmarks. It was agreed at this time that the TFD system bad proved its value to the company and that its validity was not tied to the eventual 1ccoss, or otherwise, of the blends generated. This success is still Tiltimately dependent an the approval and selection of the Teaf Blender. Some of the benefits of the TPD method perceived during the exercise were stated by, the BAT (UK & E) personnel who were involved: 111. It demands the assembly of a comprehensive data-base which may be used consistently in varied project work. 2. It provokoes the clear and written definition of future assumptions with regard to leaf purchasi.ng/pric-ing and blend characteristics. 3. It mmbles a methodical --l-tion of blend develo; r P criteria and an appreclatlon ccE cause-and-effect relationships which affect Went' characteristics. 4. It stimulates a creative attitude to blend developmient." LJq%J BATCo LTD MINNESOTATOBACCOLITIGATION CONFIDENTIAL The RAT (13K A lkpwt) blower i tbat be lave armt &can= to I OMPItOr Vwwiml 20 tb'Lt be could utillso tw oMm an & routim bass. This bas been arr&MW and tw Wdei o g datL-bam is July b@4-c revised tor me an IL aide rane of routim SW "ect work. It mu foreseen by the Woking parsomml tbLt further value Will be accrued frcm the T11D s7stam since It will be integmted with the re-designed o=pxteriwd stock control and p3onning Wgtsm which in sbcc-tly to came into operation. This development work, as mail an the Umvaemeafttion of the present system, is be' nz carried on by I= and La&g MjwkMM-w Woking. with the Involvement ot WSD, Milbank. Soon, the jpaPer w3d :eLlter wdels vftich cowlete the TYD system will be introduced to the MokIng Product Development Team via their MSD. BATCo LTD MINNESOTATOBACCOLITIGATION 9 CONFIDENTIAL 2. H.T.C. (MALlaYsiL) First Visit The TpD team visited MM from 15 June 'to 5 July, 1M. The aim of this first visit was to bring -together the single-blend UK approach. which largely used blender-selected .. I , blends to indicate target blends and thus leaf purchase crows, Lod the recently developed MM multl-blend approach which empbosdeed the balancing of leaf stock durations, with the disadvantage of giving the blender relatively little opportunity to control the blends produced as closely as be would wish. Anotber objective was to demonstrate and install the cigarette pLper and filter plug models. It was agreed threat, since the p=ck-se order for 1978 crop US leaf could still be adjusted. It would be beat for the TIPD blending model to tackle the real-time problem of developing blends uning 1M crop US leaf due to come Into production during the middle 'to end of 1979. Blends SPt (B & H) and SP2 (S.E.F.K. 555) were chosen an the target blends as they together account for 92% of HIC's usings and 70% of their local purchases. By vary-Ing the constraints, a. wide range of alternative blends was developed from which the MM blender selected a short-Ust covering ideas on -ny combinations of Fast/West, straight-side/two-alde, Canadian, loca.1/imported and stem proportions and nicotine levels. By the end of the visit, IGC personnel bad become vezy familiar with the system through full involvement with all aspects of the work. Various solutions for their two major blends were left with. IUC and It was agreed that some blends from these solutions would be made up end tested by the end of the yea-r - There was no time during the visit to test out the filter plug and cigarette pLper models, but at the end Of the visit It was agreed that options for reducing certain cigarette deliveries would be examined in the UK i-ing the models. The problem of blending within fixed-stiock constraints was discussed. It was agreed that the MM multi-blend/stock system could be usefully reduced in size by including tamer blends and by reducing the "a list. In order to make the programme better suited to the blender's needs the List of blend constants would be extended. After the Visit, selected TPD-generated blends were manufactured and analysed, and were, with slight modifications, ueed in IaCls growth amd stem substitution programme. Some of the blends generated, conforming to current MC policy, also belped them to reintroduce_ CNartmAJ-2n flavour grades as a partial sibstitution for US grades, producing cost-sLvings and increased blend flexibility. Also, in order to build up a database& flor the mult:L-blerd model, extens1ve straight-grade analytical work was coamissioned by IaC Ln part to be carried out fit R lk D. BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION CONFIDENTIAL 10 Sawnd Visit At the end of the first visit it =B &grew with IUC that & mttwn visit would be watually beneficial. Thus, the Tr-D team visited Malaysia, at the end of April (sub8witmatly travelling on to New Zealand) with the following objectives. 1. To ezck-ge experiences in the we of the multi-blend models developed at Millbank and in WTC covering the tec-hnical aspects, the views of Teaf Mender, the 'mvact on leaf stock -annalment and the problem encountered in btdlding up the leaf grade data-base. 2. To examine @he use of the single-blend model in the detexmination of the 1979 crop imported lea-f purchase orders by grade. 3. Tb advise on using a local 1W compater and linear programming package in preference to the NCR machine of the H&CS computer bureau which is partly owned by JaC. The possibility of using an 1W machine could offer long-term as well as short-term advantages W-ce the MAM bureau is "kely to switch to IBM machines. 4. Tb introduce 'the revised paper and filter models, discuss their mm and apply them to a ma-rent design problem - most likely to be one Concerning delivery reduction. 5. 'Tb discuss locally the recent work done by MM and Purchasing Department, Hillbank on finding more cost-effective tows 'to meet MTC's planned delivery reduction programme. Cost savings of about E100,000 per annum have started to accrue with the delivery and use of the new recommended tow. During the second visit, a-11 of AGC's major blends were run on the single-blend model with current data.. These runs, when examined and used in conjunction with the end-of-period stock levels determined by the duration and multi-blend models, have subsequently been used in a revision of WIC's 1979 US crop requirement. Problems with implementIng the Millbe-k mul ti-blend model on. an IBM machine at Shell Oil Co. ;;eveated complete implementation of the model. The Hillbank single-blend model ms tested successfully on the IBM machine and joint Willbank-/W= efforts are now being applied to resolve cuts-1-m-fing difficulties. IM's own multi-blend model, as revised following the first TYD visit, runs satisfactorily at their Usual c=puter service bureau, but due to the I'mitations lmp@d by its NCR compzter, the full potent-in' of the blending programs is not being achieved e.g. it in not poxzLble to ezamine more tion three blends W-11tameously in the multi-blend program. During the visit, WC's duration model was used operationally for the first tinm, and beg:an to prove its value. Various enhancements were reemmended which would make the model even more valuable In leaf planning for the fature. J:11. BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION CONFIDENTIAL 3. WILLS (NEW_ZEALAND) First visit In July 1978, N.D. & R.O. Wills (New Zoaand) reqmsted belp Teof Department, Millbank over tk@eir major blends wid their nmd to improve their tobacco stock position. It was suggested to them that the TTD system might assist with their deliberations cower blend changes, and at the same time provide them with K. fresh View On tkair blending and stock-cotnagement strategies. The suggestion was welcomed and the Tr-D team vis@ted New ZeLland from September 11-27th. Two formal objectives for the visit were agreed with the loca.1 management: 1. Th investigate various strategies for blend formulations by which, over a period of 5 years, -total leat costs could be minimismd, having regard to: a) Current stocks. b) SmokIng qualities. 2. To assess the suitability of the Tr-D system for future use in N.D. & H.O. Wills (New Zealand) Ltd. To summari2a the position, Wills were in a tight situation with 22% of asmall market and long durations (29 months) of local tobacco stocks. At the Te= Meeting in June UY78 it was agreed that loca I durations should be brought down, amd, since it appeared that local tobacco was more expensive thon most imported growths, cigarette blends could be altered to include higher levels of imported grades shilat maintaining, or even improving, smoking quality. It was hoped that the TPD system could help 'to find a path towards both these ends, and thus the formal objectives, with the emphasis an cost-reduction, were agreed on. Seen in this light, the TPD system bad a "real-time" problem to to cl-I e. The first week of the visit was spent assembling the tobacco data, required to run the programs, i.e. sugar, nicotine and cost for each grade. A grade-list of 46 imported and 15 local grades was chosen as being flexible enough to afford a. wide range of choice ower possible grades and growths. Chemical grade data for the 1WS crop purchaws mm estimated from Wills dau and tccm averages of past crop years from BAT (UK & E) I a records. 7b arrive at a realistic lamied price for Jmportmd grades (some of Wills' price ca.1culattom bad Izitberto proved misleading), the insurance, freight, handling, duty and weighted interest charges were added to the latest f.o.b price of each grade, U-4 NAD BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION 12 - It vas decided to use the TFD system lUitiJL11Y to develop alternative blends for Blend 61 (B & R) and Blend E12 (Sportsman) which together a=unt for WS of Wills' total unings. Pbr the pzrpDoes of a parallel financial exercise, low volme blends and R70 were dealt with by combining them Into an equivalent "miscellaneous" blend defined ta terms of its proportion of local and imported (by country of Origin) grades. Thus, with the mi=ellaneous blend bold constant, it could be seen bow blend changes in the two "bread and butter" blends would affect the Company's strategy and its financia.1 position. It Ms also assumed that since little could be done to alter the cash-flow position of the lEr77/78 financial year (tobacco stocks bad already been pLid for), the TPD system would be used In its predictive sense to examine possible blends for 61 and 92 for the year 1.978179 (thus affecting the current buying policy) and for subsequent years. As was the cam in the 111C situation, because the two major blends together accounted for a large proportion of local leaf usage, the program constraints bad to force a virtual "rua-of-crcV' choice &across the two. However, to allow the program sune flexibility, two plant position constraint categories were introduced for local grades, as well as four "quality" groupings. In the imported portion, US grades were categorimed as Eastern or Western, and as stralght-side or two-side to give broad control on flavour and impact. Other growths were constrained by maximum and minimum limits. Runs were made for both blends at different levels of local tobacco lnclusion, amd also with different grade prices representing current prices and estimates for the 1980/81 season. Thus a range of blemds at different domestic inclusions and at different prices Were looked at for 61 and 92. Blends were selected, not only for their mak-Ing qualitities and cost sarings, but also for the fact that the choices were compatible, in that they could be introduced as L progression without drastically changing the style of smoke. 1he selected blemds would also be relatively easy to purchase and maintain., The criterion in the imported section of both 61 and 92, was to maintain a central core of flavour in the US portion iftilst rounding and bala.=:Lng it with other imported mzr-US growths. In this way, the TPD system proved flexible enough to generate acceptable and practical blends for any range of blending strategies the. wompany may care to adopt. In tLct, the costs of the blends selected were used In the parallel financial analysis 'to point out the moat advantageous ledLf-utilisation, policy, in caAh-flow terms. to be adopted by Wills over the next 5 years. 7he Tr-D generated blends indicated that Tills could make. substantial aLrings: in the medium and longer term if they, were adopted. During the exerciin, the Wills' Teof personnel wwe clamly involved in the collection and presentation of dLtL as well as In the setting of constralats and evaluation of solutions. The ;&per the filter models of the TM system were presented to the Wills' Product Development staff and it ms arranged for 'Wills to do the weesawy meaxurements to build up a data bass to run these programme Enthusiastic approval :Eor the Single-blend Model was expressed, and at Wills' request, it wsm arranged that Wills could continue using tbe systawn on a routine basis s-t the local MU bureau. BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION CONFIDENTIAL 13 Second Visit vills requested L return visit by the Tr-D team which subsequently took place :from 14 - 21st May 1979. The agreed obj actives for the visit were as follows.- 1. Coxaolidate the mork of the first visit, principally In using the single-blend left model in coping with the full ramge of blending requirements. 2. Examl ne the use of the present leaf model In the determination of the 1.979/80 crop imported leaf purchase orders, by grade. 3. To discuss the future development of the blending programme in Wills including the potential for %xvina a multi-blead model and leLf-stock -nagement system. 4. To introduce the revised pLper and filter models, discuss their use and apply "- to a current design problem, mg kJ ng use of exisitng and fresh data., the need for which bas already been discussed. Between visits considerable progress bad been wade by Wills' TAN Department in using the single-blend model to review current blends and determine the 1979 US purchase order. In the event, the -in themes of the visit were therefore the extension of the leaf blending models into the overall process of leaf stock management, and the introduction and implementation of filter and cigarette pELper models which together -k- up the TID system. The single-blend model was used for a re-run of Blend 83 and for an initial rtm of Blend 96 in order to confirm the use of , and the confidence In using, this model in practica.1 situations. Two means of ba rd I ing multiple blends in relation to current and projected leaf stocks were discussed, namely (I) the multi-blend model LU which produces an oiprtl-l range of blends agalmat stocks and (II) a 'duration' model into which the blender feeds L range of blends be hLs devised hill with their usages, which are them compared with available stock and planned purchases. Each model bLs distinct advantages and It would be expected that, as in Malaysla, there mould be a place for each in Wills' leaf stock plan and control. However, unlike MM, Wills have no computer support in the area, of leaf. No 'off-the-ebelfl duration program was taken out by the team, but the concept and an outline system was discussed and MD UL11bonk are writing a program which incorporates features such as projected leaf durations, surpluses, short-falls, suggested buying pir ograms , future blend costs and deliveries. BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION CONFIDENTk 14 During the ViAdt. the mati-blend wdel sms mt-up at IBM Wellington, mid tested. 83me the visit bad to be dwrtowd c=pured with fte initial plan, tire did not Vu-mit the Inprt of real data and the running of a current prcblm. However, this will be tollowed tbrough Jointly by Lmaf Department and MM Ifillbe-Jr, and Wills' Laaf 7be cJLzaz ettA paper and fUter model me set up and tested at ]MM Wellington and several Irma life I runs mode by Wills' Product Designer, so indicating the practicality of the effects on deliveries and on the correspondingly necessary blood anal7now, of cbmagint product features ==h an paper Porcmity and Wbu= cuts per J--h. The awdel"im p-edictions appeared to tally well with already knmm effects, but ccmplete validation is bond carried out. An action plan, vaa agreed with the local Lomf Department and MM @ftagewzrt to consolidate and mtwod the progress adds during the visit. co BATCo LTD MINNESOTATOBACCOLITIGATION CONFIDENTIAL 4. W=3 (AUSMALIA) During early Novewher 1978, Meows. Reeling amd Vim;--out, the Bia3der and Product Designer respectively for W.D. & H.O. Wills, Australia were in Millbank and a presentation on the TPD system and experiences was given -to them by the TFD team. Sufficient interest =a aroused for Keeling to arrange to bR.Ve L not of Australian grade and blend data. sent to London during the visit. 7his data v" Installed an the computer and a "duciny" ble-Jimir problem set up. In addition to the normal sugar, nicotine and cost grade constraints, Keeling also wimbed to iaclude filling-power, total volatile bases (TVB) and protein nitrogen, Ls controlling factors cover blends. Wills make straight-grade measurements of these properties. After Keeling's departure, correspondence on Tr-D was ezdbLnged between Leaf Departments and betvmn the USDIs in Sydney and tondon. Sufficient mutual interest ms aRarent to suggest that Si=* the TPD team would be over-flying Sydney on the return from New Zealand, it would be beneficial if the tw- stopped over for a tow days to kave a further exchange of views. This Ides was welcomed by Wills. Proposed outline objectives for the visit were as follcows:- 1. To Continue the discussions held with Keeling and Vincent %hen they visited the UK last year, relLting the TED models to the WIlls approach to product design and leaf blending. 2. Th cover in greater depth the means of hamilIng the blending and product design constzaints imposed on or by, Wills, for example, In view of the high rates of duty based on product weight, the use of the concept of minimlsing the cost per %zait of filling caracity. 3. Th discuss the related-prcblams of leaf stock management, and bow this is being bermiled elsewhere, includinz the use of the multi-blend model. 4. Th discuss the various technical problems of setting up and rimninst the TPD models. S. Depending on circumstazices, the wisbes of Wills, and the opportunity to make progress locally before the visit, to carry out runs with the TYD models. BAT Co LTD MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION CONFIDENTRL The visit took place between 22 - 25th HLY,- 1979, w2d it We VWY clear that since Kmling and VinCent's Visit to the UK, a lot of tbouot bad been given 'to the powdble mays in Tbich the lml b1m3ding models could be used. In order to offset the brevity of the VI-sit, COUPLIting arrangements had been made in advance and this maLie it pogadble to Mt up and test the single-blend and multi-blend models. Further, the blendinz situation was defined in terms of Individual blend constraints, stock levels and IiJmly future parciaAes; of local leaf By the end of the visit this information ma being Mt up on the computer with the objective of using the multi-blend program to produce a range of blends sufficiently realistic to be subsequently worthwhile selecting for subjective a-asessment by L smoking panel. It is of some interest and significance that the optiTniQlng factor selected Jbr the blending program ma the filling power of the blends, which indirectly should lead to the most cost effective mm mid future purck-ses of leal, bearing in -1-1 the ve" high total cost of leaf (due minly to duty at approximately AS 25 per kilo) in Australia. This was the first time that this variable bad been used In the TM blending program although with the. barvadian data, use was made of grade density meiasureDents in using oost per unit volume as the optl-1-insr factor. Mae progress of Wills in their use of filling powez will be followed with interest. Dur:Lnff the earlier dimussions: in the UK, Vincent pointed out certa-in areas in which the paper and filter model would have to be developed in order to be of significant use to companies which, like Wills, already have a sophisticated approach to product design. One of the areas mentioned was ventilation, and since the UK discussions, the total effects of tip ventilation have been incorporated, although Mt to the extent to which it will eventually be covered. 7he present model was set up at the local computer bureau and by the end of the visit, current product data was being assembled in preparation 1br some test runs. 'Will's USM recently started to define a specification for a now leaf stock duration prose= (the administrative and coating needs are met by their computer'sed accountlng/budgeting system). 'There were joint discuss-tions w1th the users in which experiences and ideas were pooled. In view of the system being developed at HIllback, laltially for Wills (NZ), the MM ,s; will kee@ In contact. Overall, it is felt that the visit was of value to Wills and to the TM team, with further benefits yet to be realised. The team's assessment of the visit has been sent to Wills, and their response is &waited. BATCo LTD - MINNESOTATOBACCOLITIGATION CONROENTIAL - 17 - 5. IMPERIAL TOBACCO LTD. (CANADA) mr. Sch0fer visited the UK during the period 9th - 17th jky. I-q78, primarily for the pLzrpose of discussing TIM procedures wd their relevance to ITL. M2e leaf blending Situation at ITL was dewrUnd in detail by Mr. Schaffer sho highlighted the constraints imposed on the Company amd by, the Company on itself - Only local leaf is used and r= buys approximately 30% of total flue-cured production. Ontario IeL:f represents 90% of ITL's total purchases the 10% being in obligatory purckmse of several Quebec and Maritime grades, which generally are of lower quality than the Ontario leaf. '1he auction system for Ontario leaf enables companies to buy other ++Wr' a rUD-Of-the-crop grade m:Lz. For example, ITL and Ro++m-% tend to be more selective on quality whereas the other companies buy on price. Overall, ITL PLY a Slightly kLigher average price than the competition. m group their 30 or so Ontario grades On a matrix With five classd fications for qmlity ranging from mture/unblemished to very trashy and five cla-Ifications; for plant position, namely, lugs, cutters, cutter/leLf. leaf and tips. ITL manufacture a total 15 blends, but of those only 7, LCCOUnting for 90% of leaf Usings, are termed 'essential'. The bleoft tend to be specified largely by their proportions of leaf quality and plant position categories. For example, individual blends bave a mature leaf content ranging trom 20 to 60%. To demonstrate the applicability of the TED leaf model to the rM situation, the ITL grade data was set up on the computer and alternative rec:lp:Les sere developed for the company's major blend, wbLich accounts for 40% of production. Teaf data comprised cost, nicotine, reducing sugar, DFM (tar) &W fillimg capacity. Blend constraints imcluded nicotine, DPH, sugar, 'quality' and plant position. It was agreed that flexibility :in some of the blend constraints should be possible, and so ranges (in cost terms) of blends were produced corresponding to different sets of Constraints. In addition, one set of blends was produced which minim'sod the cost per unit filling capacity of the blend, -citing use of the grade filling capacity data available for rM leaf grades. Time did not permit either the full as-Amessmient Of the blends produced or the carrying out of further oomputer runs. However, the results looked promising and it was agreed in principle that a vludt by the TPD team to. w-A& Should be made to set up the TM system and identify and +-ckle a specific problem. The during would depend on the availability of r= personnel and the install -tion of the new IM computer in the company. The visit mould also give the opportunity to use operatiowLlly the TPD filter plug and cigarette Paper models and compare them writh models developed by IM which predict cigarette delivery performance. -Cmb BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION CONFIDENTIAL Dwj@W big visit 1k. SOWfOr WWOMW the view thLt al ti - gi the = LpFrORCh ShOWd Pre"i go m & MgLng Of opt4,nj Md ng jeaf UMW based on ooortmints laid down by bim v3sre gaa 10OW-tum p7tential VL1U6 to r= in using L grade/bleW natebing approsch to give ftrtber insight (as a back-up to his own amerience) into the type of constraints be should use. An Important application would be to determine what chemical cr other objective facbor, sre nwessary to ded1ne the gmlitY of a grade or bland. Using this informiLtIon tbey would alm to find local 01hatitutes for tobaccos which are in dnrt supply. MR411antly, at the R & D conference, doubts were expr Pusej threat. although Of tbO the comPLnies represented, only rrL had bad any experi6we Of it in operation, the Wamnt form of T.PD my heave limitztiOnG an ftr an the requirements of the more advanced cmapLnIes in the Group are concerned. It we suggested that efforts in R & D should be d1reicted t"ards research an adnmed developw=s of t be cODr-ePt - In order to I" 80=8 the F- - Pa this research shoul d take, R D staff bLVe vigitedConarls, USA Lod Germany. During the visit to. Canada made by Dr. lbok in juns 3.979, the f Irst Stages Of a. research programme to define the neceemry constraints were agreed. A grade/blend mLtrbdLng model was set up on a local bureau computer wing rMls aim OWp dgLta.. The early computer rims were en a 6unesting that at least one of the "ea in short supply could theoretically be partly M&tcbed in r4,,pqnj&s3 -pvvm by blends of grades which we more readily available. The --t lmportant stage will be to test whether, in the-se circunstancefil and within the CAn=Lian contexts the PLrti&l chemical match Is sufficient to give a, match in =Wdng quality. BAT Co LTD MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION CONHOENTIAL - 19 - S. MIM A21D WnLJAHM Mu) Following the remommendations of the IW9 Renearch Conference, Dr. Book visited 8 & W for a wook in June lwg to d:L==s the research programme for tbone TPD develOPMuts which vould be appropriate to the more advanced Fannies. B & W are developing their own omprter models wjm4ijr in function to the paper, filter and ventilation modules of TPD, but specially adapted 'Im US requirements. Altbough they do not require the TT-D programmes as such, B & W well appreciate a claw exchange of ideas and information on the basic models and systems ooneepts. It wx agreed that fork would be carried cut by R h D to derive relationds'ps which could be included in models for the ftctors (e.g. the inclusion of expanded tobacco) which Inf3unnee tke physical properties of the tobacco rod (wich an pressure drop), and the effects tbese in turn would bLve on deliveries Such =:del& would eventually be incorporated into the TM lystem. B & W are in the process of implementing a now blood planning and stock management system, which includes forecasts of nicotine content, but they r--i n to be convinced of the value to ++W- of the blend models of TPD, or of the possible extensions into grade or blend matchl rig. Homever, it la intended that a member of B & W vWf will visit the UK to explore in more detail the value to B & W of ame form of blend modelling approach. 13AT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION - 20 - ArCENDUK CONFIDENTIAL At the Millbank Product Development Group meeting of 14 June, 19M, the TPD tem were asked to prepmxe a abort note an companies withi n the Group -for iblch the Total Product Design W I I Icould be benef:Lci&l and practical, both from the point of view of technical. resources and from the leaf side. The team also ftlt it Important to cover areas which as yet bLve not been tackled. namely, blended cigarette manutacture and situations vbere cnly locally grown tobacco is used. The compLnies, listed below by territorial groups, almost suggest themselves as satisfying all or some of 'the above criteria. EMPE B&T (Suisse) S.A. This would be an attractive exanv3e, not only bemuse of its pradmity but also bec1use it has already expressed interest itself In the TPD techniques, especially from the view of the control of leaf stocks. It has many facets which could test the system's potential. BAT Suisse uses both imported and domestic tobacco in its manufacture of Virmin-la and blended cigarettes. Also, the Company operates in an environment of relatively sophisticated product design,allawing 11or factors such as gas-phase constituents, for which it bLs a substantial straight-gra,de data, base. It certainly bas access to the necessary technical resources, as well as having an in-company technical back-up Lbility Clearly, other European companies such as B&T Benelux and Suamen. TupLkka bave the capability to Justall, use and exploit the system, but they all, at the moment, have certain practical drawbacks which are not apparent in BAT Suisse. FAR EASr (i) Singapore Tobacco Company In a sense. SW would present a logical artensicn. to the application Of the technique in UTC. STC has. it anything, better technical facilities available locally "-n IUC has. It uses domestic and imported tobacco in its manufacture of --inly Virginia, brands and it h" also expressed interest In the technique. (U) BAT Hong Kong BAT (EK) manufactures both Virginia and blended cigarettes with totally imported tobacco. It IMF L f0rWaXd-+h4nk41nsr company with adeqmte resoumes and personnel. BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION AMIcA CONROENTIAL - 21 - M BAT 1=72, BAT KenyL is in a V:Lrgizxia mLrb:e-t and uses imported end Iic tobac=. It bRZ L positive managawnt who have 01prunsed Interest in ffystems for leaf planning and control. MM Millbank bas recently visited the cacpwy- (:Li) United Toba= Company This is one of the companies initially nominated by the JGDC and Tkich is still a possibility, although reservations have I'mm, expressed in Hillbank as to whether the tire la appropriate- CEMAL AND SOUTH AMICA M Souza Cruz (Brazil) @z is another URC nomination with vd= Little concrete pogrese: has been made. (ii) Nobleza-Piccardo (Argentina) Robleza-Piccardo uses only domestic tobaczo for blended cigarette manufacture. It has a strong USD back-up. 7be Territorial Tmf Adv,iser sees definite uses for the system, especially on the planning and stock contral side. (iii)Cigarrera La Hoderna (Mexico) This company, also, uses only domestic tobacco for blended cigarettes. It bus a nl-ilar situation to the Argentinian company with good MM :E CURREVr VIEW OF TBE PRCDUCT DEVELOPMENT CxFJOUP a subsequent meeting of the MG on August 1, the above report and Suggest1ons were discussed. The FM minated the :0ollowing recommend a tions: - "A report has been produced and will be circulated to the Territorial Departments in order that they should decide the relevance 'to their particular areas. It was thought that the -total pLclmge could have application in Switzerland, but that pressure to encourage the we in other companies was not required, since this would be catered Jbr territorially." Minute 79/57 Total Product Design. `-4 BAT Co LTD - MINNESOTA TOBACCO LITIGATION