NO COPIES MAY BE MADE 9 1 C I I T Tobacco Strategy Review Team A meeting of the Tobacco Strategy Review Team was held on 2ad December 1991. Present : Sir Patrick Sheehy, ~!r. M.F. Broughton, Mr. B.D. Bramley', Mr. R.J. Pritchard, Ar. U.G.V. Herter, Mr. A. Monteiro de Castro, hr. J-L. Mercier, Dr. R. Salter (Secretary). Minutes of the Previous Meeting/Matters Arising 1. The minutes of the meeting held on 6th September -ere agreed. 2. 1.T. in Selling Seminar : ~!r. Pritchard reported that a seminar an the application of I.T. in selling had been arranged for 13th-14th February in Lauis~ille. Marketing Issues 3. November Marketing Seminar : Reviewing the results of the marketing seminar held in Orlando, immediate reactions were that:- The formula proposed *5v Mr. Dunt should be applied to calculate values for key brands ;cross the Group. The implications of the values obtained shou'd then be considered in the reviews of plans for 1993-1997. (b) 7he strateg;: analysis of competitors should be improved, with particular emphasis an the collection and use of infor--acion oti cost structures and other factors u-hich were likely to be significant in e the abil-:-7 and motivation of competitors either to react d ng to at--ategies proposed by BAT companLes or to initiate strategies of their own. (c) Achieving and --intaini-ng su?er:-or product quality was a vital pre-condition for building a suc=e s3ful marketing strateg7. This should continue to be given the highest priority. 4. The Chairman asked for the results Of the seminar to be reviewed again at the next meeting, to provide a more measured view both of t-. e moat significant issues to have emerged and of other action which might usefully be taken to pursue these. 5. Marketing Information Systeu : Mr. Bramley presented a paper outlining the proposals for implementing the iMDroviim-ents to information system which had been agreed. It -as noted that every eff.)rt would be made to accelerate the implementation of the new system, aiming to have this complete by end-1992. 6.1 It was suggested that it might be helpful to use consultants to assist in the choice and implementation of appropriate software and s,items. Mr. Bra.ley will consult with ocher members and will then select an outside firm with relevant expertise to provide assistance on this project. 7. Competitor Analysis - Philip Morris : It was noted that Philip Morris were still in the process of re-organisation following the appointment of Mr. Miles as Chair-can. There appeared to be a continuing trend towards simplification and cost-reduction but no diminuation in the pressure to expand volumes and shares of the Marlboro brand worldwide. A key strategy, CD appeared to be to plan on a regional basis and to concentrate manufacture r"i in plants with a minimum capacity of 5 billion cigarettes p.&. CJ BATCO CONMENTIAL - CATEGORY 1: NUNNESOTA TOBACCO LMGAT` ION. BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 25 October 1999 - I - 8. It was noted that Philip Morris was now profitable in Brazil and had increased their equity share of their Argentinian company. However, their ability to exploit the potential of the Indonesian market was constrained by not owning the Marlboro trademark in this market. . 9. Market share and profits -ere still progressive in Cermany but there had been changes in the top management which appeared to have weakened the company. It was noted that there had been some reduction in the proportion of the total promotional spend allocated to Europe with more emphasis now being given to the Far East. 10. It was agreed that it would be worthwhile to carry out in-depth consumer analysis, to assess the strengths and weaknesses of Marlboro in Europe and to determine whether the Marlboro cowboy was beginning to lose him appeal. Hr. Herter will design an appropriate questionnaire and will recommend to the Chai-.=an how this enquiry might be progressed. 11. R.J. Reynolds : It was suggested that although the recent financial restructuring moves by R.J. Rey-nolds had been well received by the market, the business itself was still under considerable pressure with declining market shares in zhe US, Canada and a number of other key markets. Despite 'further cost-cutting, profi:abili:v was thought to be declining, especially within the international business. 12. It appeare,_4 that a response to the market share problem had been to increase loading. It was suggested that 4r. Broughton should consider bringing this to the attention of the appropriate market analysts. 13. There was also ar, iadicarian chat RJR might be prepared to sell the rights to market their br-ands in certain ove-zseas markets. Mr. Pritchard was asked to 7-eoarL an update for the next meeting of his previous report, assessing the price at whic"n the pur:hase of de-Eimed elements of RJR's overseas .business might be worzhwhile. 14. RDtb=ns : 1c as noted that in Ge-man-,, Brinkmanns was losing share, with Golden Amerizan failing to sustain its early progress in the New Lands. Rot'tmans ~as also losing share in Canada where the response had been to =:ve to unusual prod~ucts such as 'sticks'. 15. It was noted that the recent improvements in profitability shown in Rothmans' accounts had been favourably received by the market. However, it was believed that this was largely due to plant rationalisation in Europe and that the Underlying trends were less favourable. -ne7tr1Ftr-mafi--askic1_- the Secretary to prepare an analysis of Rothmans' profits and to assess whether the analysts' favourable view of Rothmans' results is justified. 16. American Brands : It was noted that American Brands continued to show good results based on the success achieved with Montclair and Misty Slims in the USA and with Callahers in the UK. However, Silk Cut had failed to make an impact as an international brand and Callaher International now reports in to the UK. 17. Lorillard/Liggetts : There was some evidence that Lorillard might be contemplating a re-entry to the international market, possibly with Heritage. Liggett have said that they rill re-launch Eve, Chesterfield and L&M as full-revenue brands but both this and early negotiations an a joint venture in the USSR are thought to be largely aimed at boosting the value of the tobacco business ahead of a possible sale. 18. JTI : It -as noted that volumes of JTI exports appear to be increasing, especially at the low-price end of the market. The Secretary was asked to r".) check with Mr. Chalfen whether there are grounds for initiating Ul anti-dumping action in respect of this trade. ___4 BATCO CONMENTIAL - CATEGORY 1: MEMSOTA TOBACCO LMGAT' ZON. vince of British Columbia 25 October 1999 P f BATCo docu ro or ment 3 - Kev Markets 19. Eastern Europe : Mr. Herter reported that sales to the region remained progressive despite the war situation in Yugoslavia and the economic problems in Bulgaria which had restricted sales to these -countries. 20. It was noted that sales to Russia were continuing but only where payment was assured. This contrasted with some competitors who had supplied on extended credit and were now said to be worried by their exposure. The Chairman suggested that it might be worthwhile to reassure bankers that BAT was not exposed in this way. 21. Conditions in Romania were chaotic. However, Kent was still progressive and progress was also being made with Kim and Kim Menthol. Sales to Czechoslovakia were increasing slowly and the contacts established in the country should lead to an acceleration in this trend. 22. Poland showed an encouraging increase including sales by Souza Cruz and exports from Cyprus offsetting a reduction in direct sales from Brown & Williamson. BATCF sales were largely HB, of which some were being re-exported to Germany. 23. Hungary : It was noted that the investment in Pecs was in the final stages of negotiations with :he SPA. It was hoped to complete the purchase in February, at which time BATCo. would take over ".he responsibility, for managing the investment. 24. A review meeting has been arranged for 10th-11th December ac which the object'ves and strategies fcr further expanding the Group's interests in Eastern Europe and he former USSR will be agreed coumt~ry by country. It was noted that it is intended that the evaluation of investment opportun;:ies, the oreparation of prroposals and the subsequen: negotiat,-ons w-ill 'De brought under direct B.A.T industries' control. 25. China : it was noted chat the new organisation for supplying the China market -would become operative from the Ist January. 26. South Come : It was noted that the current view is that the Mercosul will be established during the 1990s, although not necessarily by the 1995 target date. It -as agreed chat Mr. Castro would take over the responsibility for the study group set up to consider the implications for B.A.T Industries and to rec=mend appropriate action. He was asked to report progress to the-Tea. an a regular basis. 27. CoLombis : ~x. Prizchard reported that sales to Colombia were progressive. The next meeting of the group set up to co-ordimate BAT sales to the market is due to be held early in December. The results of this meeting will be reported at the next meeting. 28. Thailand : Mr. Pritchard reported that requirements for retailers to obtain new licences in order to sell imported brands had restricted sales, which were below plan. However, pressure would be maintained and progress was already being made with SE:555, Lucky Strike and Kent. 29. A visit to Turkey by the Chairman and Mr. Pritchard had established that market domination by Tekel and Philip Morris, combined with laws which rendered investment unattractive, severely restricted the opportunities for profitable participation in the market. The Turkish Government would be told that, under these circumstances, BAT would not Ln wish to pursue its interest in the market. U*1 Co C) BATCO CONMENTIAL - CATEGORY 1: NUNNESOTA TOBACCO LMGAT.'ON. BATCo document for Province of BritiSh Columbia 25 October 1999 - 4 - 30. It as noted that studies were still underway in Baran and a paper was being prepared, recommending the strategy for Vietnaxa. BATCo. and Brown & WiLliamson were continuing to monitor the situation in Xe3tico. US International Brands 31. Overall Perfor=nce : ?x. Pritchard reported that although Bales to date of US International Brands were still 4.5Z below budget, this was largely accounted for by a shortfall in Duty Free exports from Hong Kong and by the temporary closure of some Middle East markets. The forecast for the full year was that sales would be only 0.5Z below budget. 32. Kent volumes we're improving after a poor first half which was largely attributable to the dut-7 increase in Hong Kong, interruptions in re-exports from Hong Kong and Singapore, and the effects of the Gulf War. Initial results from the test market in Germany had been disappointing but a full evaluation of the test was not due until the second quarter of 1992. The Chairman emphasised the need to review Kent sponsorship on a worldwide basis and to ensure that this had the necessary high profile. 33. Luck7 Strike continued :o make good progress but although volume Van 11% higher than 1990 this was still nearly 10Z below budget. It van noted that Lucky Strik: as thought to be comparable to Harlboro in smoking quality while th Ligh:i -version -as believed to be superior to the corresponding Marlboro product. However, it was also noted that Marlboro Medium continued to build share in the USA and might be introduced internationally, providing a new element of competition. 34. It was agreed that expanding sales of Lucky Strike should continue to be a priority objective, especially in Brazil and Europe where there should be concinuing emphasis on positioning the brand at the higher end of the marke: through quality, pricing and strong advertising. ne launch of Lights versions should also be pursued, aiming to keep ahead of Marlboro. 35. Talisatan - Mr. Broughton reported that a meeting had been arranged for 15 th January, to discuss further the possibilities for obtai=ing the rights to the Lucky Strike trac~emark in markets where these were still owned by American Brand '. 36. Barclay : Mr. ?ritchard reported that Barclay was progressive in most markets and relatively stable in Norway and the Saudi Croup but bad declined in Turkey due to changes in the pricing structure in the market. 37. It was noted that the new deliver-, classifications would be introduced in Belgium. The Ultra version will be introduced. first. as., agreed but the :ubsequent launch ill follow shortly afterwards rather than after the 3 onths' interval which had been planned initially. 38. The Chairman accepted the need to push ahead with the launch programme in Belgium but emphasised the need to monitor the results very closely- It was also important that' in other markets, the timetable initially agreed should be adhered to, with a 3 months' interval between the launch of the Ultra version and the completion of the re-positioning. 39. Other International Brands : Mr. Pritchard reported continuing good progress with Hilton, Capri/Finesse and Viceroy, which was useful as a lo-er price international brand. There was also evidence of a growth in demand for Menthol brands, especially in the Far East and Middle East, which could support the further expansion of Kool. Mr. Pritchard will report more fully on these brands at the next meeting. Z~. BATCO CONFIDENTIAL - CATEGORY 1: MINNESOTA TOBACCO LMGAT' X'ON. BATCO document for Province of BritiSh Columbia 26 October 1999 UX international Srands 40. Overall Performance : Mr. Bramley reported that sales of UK International Brands to the end of September were 7.4% ahead of the corresponding period in 1990 but were still 2.1% below budget. Sales of SZ555 had been particularly good, offsetting a reduction in Benson & Hedges. Players Gold Leaf and JPS were both about 8Z ahead of last year but JPS gales were nearly 12% below budget. 41. Benson & Hedges : It was noted that although there were continuing problems with Benson & Hedges in Australia and Malaysia, domestic sales in South Africa were progressive with the mild variants doing particularly well. Export sales were nearly 10% below budget with sales to French West Africa being adversely affected by political disturbances and T.E.I. licenced manufacture while European Duty Free sales were affected by the reduction in tourism. 42. The Chairman scressed the need for tighter managemnt of the brand, overcoming the long-standing quality prroblems (e.g. spotting in the Middle East) and ensuring that the blend was right before the Golden Mild/Lights launch scheduled for Ist Quarter 1992 im Greece and France wag activated. 43. It was also i=portant that BATCo. should be clear -.-hat they wished Benson & Hedges to scand for in the medium to long term and should ensure that the blend, pack design, advertising and sponsorship -as consistent with the image which they wished co project, worldwide. 44. S1555 : It was noted chat SE555 had very strong latent goodwill in a n=ber of markets. This should be nurtured, building out fr= positions of strength and pricing the band correccly ia eac .:-. market. The Chairman also suggested that the brand concept might usefully be redefi.ed, especially in respect of the characteristics of the blend. 45. Players Cold Leaf : The Chairman suggested that i= defining the strategy for PGL, more emphasis should be given to product qualit7 as a key factor to be controlled from the centre. He -as also disappointed %rith the relatively low rate of growth projected _-~r the five vears to 1996 and asked that this should be reviewed. 46. John Player Special : It was agreed that the potencial of JPS should be reviewed, with a view to deciding by the end of. 1992, whether it should continue to be promoted as an' Unternational brand. 47. Quality : Mr. Bramley presenced a paper outlining specific targets and proposed programmes of action to effect an overall improve=ent in the quality of UK International Brands. It as agreed that he would report back in December 1992, on the progress achieved in meeting the targets which had been set. V1 V1 co 13 ATCO CONFEDENTIAL - CATEGORY 1: WOMSOTA TOBACCO LITIGA1,10N. BATCO document for Province of BritiSh Columbia 25 October 1999 6 - Research and Development 48. Policy/Organisation : Mr. Bramley reported on discussions held with the other members of the team, the object of which was to consider whether there should be a change of emphasis in the Group's Research and Development with a greater proportion of the effort being applied to consumer-led research aimed at developing better cigarettes. 49. In the discussions, it had been agreed that although members believed that it was advantageous to continue to centralise work on regulatory issues within the Funda3Dental Research Centre (FRC), this work should be sustantially reduced from 57 man years in 1991 to 10 man year@ in 1992, covering work on Bioassays, Additives/Materials, Interuational Standards and Smoking Issues on17. ~r = 50. At the same time, the range of work in ~'I e pe tive development laboratories should be increased; by _L8 an years in BATCo. (BTC); by 14 man years in Brown & ';illiamson; and by 7 man years in BATCF. 51. Mr. Mercier noted that Imasco supported the strengthening of product development but also emphasised the importance of continuing fundamental research on a Group basis. 52. It was agreed that the change in emphasis -which had been proposed should be implemented. ?6x. Bramley was asked to prepare detailed plans and proposals for the scaling-down of FRC and for the transfers or reductions in staff which would be involved. He was also asked to consider further, whether he post of Research Co-ordiriacor should be retained. ~-_. Bramley will t epor: progress to the next meeting. r 53. Y-1 Tobac=o : It was noned that there had been encouraging progress in the USA, UK and Germanny where cigaretteg incorporating Y-1 tobacco had performed well in test3. However, Souza C:uz had not found any advantage from incorporating Y-1 while Imagco foul_^ that T-I incorporation appeared to increase the harshness of Vi7ginia-zy-pe cigareztes. Further progress will be reported at :he next =eeting. 54. Reconstituted Stem . 7he Chairman stressed that in consider-.Ug the incorporation of reconstituted stem and in deciding how this component should be produced, the overriding consideration should be to enhance the quality of the final product, not to cut costs. It VR3 also suggested that in addition to testing the potential for incorporation in Benson & Hedges, BA16o.-should also com-gider-the potential for incorporation in SE555. It was noted that BATCF and Souza Cruz -will prepare papers for the next meeting, assessing the potential for producing and using reconstituted stem and considering the capital expenditure implications. Leaf 55. : Mr. Pritchard reported that a Leaf processing Leaf Processing Seminar . seminar had been arranged for 9th-12th December. Twenty-six delegates from around the Group were expected to attend. The seminar had a full programme which included a visit to Wilson. 56. Leaf Purchasing : It was noted that there had been a number of cases where the prices agreed with farmers for the purchase of Leaf had been too high, with consequent adverse effects on the Group's profits, especially where the Leaf -as subsequently sold to distributors. Mr. Broughton was Lri as ked to formulate with Mr. Pilbeam, guidelines on the pricing of Leaf CD which could be applied round the Group to overcome this problem. It was r1i also noted that B.A.T Industries' Legal Department was reviewing the Ul contracts for Leaf supply to distributors with a view to recommending __J whether or not these should be changed (e.g. to eliminate exclusivity co clauses). BATCO CONFIDENTIAL - CATEGORY I: MINNESOTA TOBACCO LMGAT1.ON. BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 25 October 1999 - 7 - 57. Leaf Exports : It was noced that although there had been same improvement in the supply of Burley, the current crop in the USA was not expected to be sufficient to rescore durations. The situation for flue-cured tobacco was easier and fire-cured was a weak market with a high degree of volatility. 58, Although there had been some easing of the leaf supply situation, it was believed that there were still good opportunities to increase Leaf exports from Group companies, provided chat costs were contained. 59. It was noted that BATCo. were planning to increase Leaf exDorts from 44,000 tons to 91,000 tons over a five-year period, reprement3.ng an increase in sales from $128 million to $400 million. On current estimates, this could represent an increase in profits from $40 million in 1991 to around $120 million in 1995. The fixed asset i nvestment required co achieve this would be of the order of $90 million and additional working capital of $60-S75 million would also be required. A paper outlining the overall plan, which included a proposal to upgrade the central management of Leaf was due to be presented to the CPC before the end of the year. 60. Souza Cruz also plannec: to increase Leaf exports, following the acquisicion of Dobra, which allowed a more integrated approach to Leaf manage.ent. RegulatorT Issues 61. Environmental Policy, : ~!r. Broughcon reported that following the B.A.T Industries Board review of the Group's environmental poli:7 statemenc, this had been modified. A copy of the modified scatement had been circulated with the papers for the meeting. It was noted that the person at B.A.T Indust:ieg responsible for the co-ordination of environmental polic7 within the Group as now ~trr. D.D. Read. 62. Environmental Tobacco Smoke : It was agreed that recent developments in the USA, Canada and :he UK had strengthened the view that ETS was a political rather than a scientific issue. This led co the conclusion that although data should continue to be collected, it was umlikely that scientific arguments would be ef-fective in altering the trend towards increasing rescrictions on the right to smoke inside public buildings. 63. Advertising Restrictions : it was noted that there was also strong prasaure for -i-ncreased restrictioms on advertising, although here there were some signs in Canada and Europe of more resistance f-.= bodies concerned with personal liberty, allied to media whose commercial interests are threacened by reductions in the total volume of advertising. It was noted that the Social Affairs Unit, a right-wing research and educational trust in the UK, had recently produced two pamphlets an the adverse effect of advertising bans. The Secretary was asked to circulate copies of these to Team members. 64. Fire-Safe Cigarettes : Mr. Pritchard reported that although the US Safe Cigarette Act of 1990 calls for a final report from the Technical Advisory Group by August 1993, recommending a suitable form of fire-propensity testing, the evidence to date was that this was unlikely to be achievable. Brown & Williamson will continue to monitor developments and to report an any that are significant. V1 Ln --.4 BATCO CONMENTIAL - CATEGORY 1: MUMSOTA TOBACCO LMGATT ION. BATCo document for Province of BritiSh Columbia 25 October 1999 Management Development 65. Reviev Uport : Mr. Broughton presented a draft report outlining proposals for a complete overhaul of the Group's management training and development processes. This separated management training into 4 levels with the CPC responsible for top management training, the TSRT responsible for the training and development of senior management; Operating Group companies responsible for business training and development; and Functions responsible for functional training and development. It was noted that 4 r. David Stevens would take over the responsibility for the further development of these proposals, replacing Mr. McBeath. 66. Discussion centred on the proposals for functional training and it was agreed that:- (a) Functional courses should be aimed at everyone who joins a function at a managerial level. (b) In the first instance, courses should be designed for Marketing, Production, Finance and Leaf only. (c) As previously agreed, 3ATCF should be responsible for the courses in Marketing, with Brown & Williamson responsible for Production, BATCo. for Finance, and Souza Cruz for Leaf. (d) The respective members of the TSRT would be responsible for drawing-up proposals for appropriate courses, having agreed the form of these with the other Operating Companies. 67. It was agreed thac -agement training should be reviewed again at the next meeting when Mx. Broughton would report progress on the development of the new arrangements. 68. Inter-Company Transfers : Xx. 3ramley reported that 24 trans!erg had been arranged and that there were a further 39 vacancies under consideration. 1: -~as suggested that it might now be possible to extend the system to cover more junior posts and further consideration would be given to this. There would also be a review of the terms and conditions offered to people ho -ere transferred to ensure that these -ere appropriate. Future Meetings 69. Dates arran.ged- F- -he_ eetings in 1992 are Wednesday, 26th February; Friday, 29th Mav; Ihursdav, 3rd September and Wednesday, 2nd December. RS/DJS 9 th December 1991 BATCO CONMENTIAL - CATEGORY I: MINNESOTA TOBACCO LMGAT11ON. un __4 00 BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 25 October 1999