NOTT FOR THE TOBACCO STR-ATEGY RE*vIEXA,'TEA.Nl TRAMDERNL&L NICOTINE 1. THFPRODUCT Nicotine patches are a system of delivering nicotine into the blood stream. Nicotine patches,xere introduced onto the market as a pharmacy-only product in New Zealand in 1991 and in the U.S.A. they were approved by the Food and Drug Administralion for prescnipti on -only sales from 1992. Pharmaccutical companies manufacturing nicotine patches arc currently marketing them for "treatment of nicotine dependence--as a smoking cessation aid, claiming for example. the psychopharmacological stimulant effects of nicotine underlie the tobacco nicotine addicrion". This paper also considers issues relating to other potential usts of the transdtrmal nicotine patch. Le: dual usage by smokers of patches and cigarettes and choice of the patch solely for nicotine intakc. 2. AS A WTHOD OF AMflN1lSTFRNG \TICOTIN'E Guid-:lines for use of nico6ne patches issued by the manufacturer Ciba Geigy recomm,:-id that the subject should stop smoking completely and use patches for no longer than three months (as treatment period and doses above 52mg per patch ha%-. not been evaluated). The guidelines advise aEiainst use by non-smokers, occasional smokers and subjects with certain medical conditions. Neither the standard nicotine patch (e.g. Nicotinell) nor the "Sto'%~c" patch match thc dcliverv pattern or impact of nicotine that is obtained when smoke is inhaled ftorn a --hcv do, however, match more closely the pattern of some other forms of Cigarette. I . tobacco usage. e.g. pipes, cigars, and snuff, although there is some debate on the actual ~11 importance of the peaks and troughs in nicotine levels associated with inhaling "'_cigarene smoke. CID (z) BATCo document for Province of BritiSh Columbia 26 October 1999 Tobacco companies market cigarertes to smokers who enjoy smoking. Part ofthat enjoyment may relate to intake of nicotine but the smoker decides by the way he smokes whether be receives from 0 to 3 mg nicorine per cigarene. This is quite unlike the steady stream ftom the nicotine patch which is somewhat akin to an intravenous chip. While delivering nicotine, patches do not mimic any of the other facets of smoking cigarettes. In addition, as presently developed, they are a totally automatic delivery system and have none of the flexibility of tobacco usage, both as to amount and timing of delivery. In certain circumstances nicotine-containing patches are potentially dangerous: they can be easily misused or tamperedwith and, as curTently manufactured, can be mistaken for plasters by the elderly or the young. The total nicotine content of individual nicorine parches can be as high as 51 mg, roughly equivalent to the lethal dose for a man of average wei ght. Whether by multiple patching, ingestion, or inadvertent nicotine extraction, nicotine availability in patches is sufficient to give rise to the concern that acute toxicity in adults and possible child fatality could occur. Salient questions are: What would be the effect of wearing more than one patch at a time? If patches were discarded carrying significant residuals of nicotine what would be the effect of accidental ingestion by children' ',k1hat would be the effect of inadverient extraction of the nicotine in a patch by spill,-d alcohol (drinks for example)' 3. FIFFECTIVENESS OF PRODUCT IN SMOKING CESSATION The evidence produced by the makers of Nicotine]] (Ciba Geigy) is not convincing and does not indicate substantial advantages compared to a placebo. A report by the New York Times (8th April 1992) su,ogested that those who quit using patches relapse at about the same rate as anyone else. In one series of follow-up studies, six months after having stopped using the patches, the share of subjects not smoking ranged from 0 to 48% compared with a rate of 0 to 40% of those who did not use them. It has also been suggested that the patches are relatively ineffective unless used in conjunction with some form ofbehavioural therapy. A consumer group is now complaining to the U.S. Federal Government that advertisements for the patches are t _n misleading by imply*ing that the patch is all that is needed to quit smoking. The group BATCo document for Province of BritiSh Columbia 26 October 1999 3 is pedrioning for requirement of labels warning smokers of the risks of smoking while wearing the patch and that they may also need counselling to help overcome "psychological addiction" of smoking. 4. NICOTNE IN RELATION TO NIEURODEGF-N'ER.ATIVE DISORDERS AND 0-iHER DISEASES Current advice from consultants to BAT is that the epidemiological basis of a negative association between smoking and incidence of Alzheimer's disease is hardening. There is also good evidence that smoking alleviates the symptoms of Alzheimer's disease. The situation with resiard to Parkinson's disease is similar but rather more certain. These observations are \;idely believed to be due to nicotine but this has not been substanriated-aJthough the view is consistenivith current pharmacological knowiedgt. One adviser, Dr. S. Wannacott (University of Bath), is of the opinion that nicotine has unique properties and 'protects' nerve cells against damage leading to neuredegencrative disordtrs. On this basis she believes that the pharmaceutical companies xill not easily be able to develop a drug to replace nicotine in relation to Alzheimer's disease. In re:ation to alleviating symptoms of Parkinson's disease the posifion is different and another material (1-dopa) is preferred. This is because dl fferent regions of the brain are invo lv td. It has also been suggested over the years that nicorine may be implicated in some smoking-associated diseases, more especlalN cardiovascular disease. This possibility ha-s not been disDroved although Wald and Froggatt ( 1989) do not find the evidence persuasive. Generally speaking this ar.-a Of Work is likely to increase the interest in nicotine administration, especiady since Alzheimer's disease is likely to be a major health issue in the next century, as life expectancy increases and birth rates fall. 5. POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENTS The possible development of more sophisticated patches can be foreseen, for example in which compounds other than nicotine could be co-administered. Patches containing reduced amounts of nicotine (and shorter useful contact times) are obviously possible, CD as are user-controllablt patches. BATCo document for Province of British COIUMbia 26 October 1999 Such developments would be expected to make the product more acceptable to potential consumers and, possibly, lessen some of the safety concerns associated with it. 6. FUTLTRF PRODUCT TZPSEARCH ARRANGTWENTS The following arrangements have been put in place as part of BATCo's continui .ng review of transdermal nicotine patches ("TNPs")_ a] Meeting Aith Stowic Resources (May 19th) - to ascertain their views on their product. b] Informal meeting on May 21st %xith the Chairman of the U.K. Committee on Safety on Medicines (Professor M. Rawlins, University of Newcastle) to hear his views on the probable approach to nicotine patches in the U.K. cl Brief behavioural study to compare the efficacy of nicotine patches with smokaing in a vigilance task. (Summer 1992 - subject to approval from the University of Reading). 7. PRODUCT ION AND PROFITABILITY POTENTIAL Patches are a low-technology manufacturing challenge probably associated with a low capital investment threshold. Although TN`Ps and cigarettes have a common element only in that they both deliver nicorine, the possible diversification of Tobacco manufacturers into the production and marketing of T,Ts is not supported by synergistic benefits:- i. The technologies involved are distinct. 11. The fabrication processes are different. ill'. There is little commonality in terms of raw materials used. CD r1 l) BATCO document for Province of BritiSh C01UMbia 26 October 1999 5 iv. The channels of dis-mbution are different. V. Any potential advantage arising from the use of common brand names would be constrained by the fact that TN'Ps are likely anly to be available on prescription. It is believed that profitabifity on a unit basis is likely to be substantially greater than cigarenes. Patches will probably be marketed at a retail price closely equivalent to a pack of cigarettes, are most likely to be cheaper to manufacture, and attract no excist durv. 8. MkRKFTlNG CONSIDERATIONS Sales of patches in New Zealand are said to have been better than the makers expected and it is reported that demand is "amazing" in the U.S.A. Analysts have said that the combined sales ofthe three brands in the U.S. could reach USS I billion annuall-Y. The products have only been an the market for five months and the early findings of research on the products' effectiveness as a smoking cessation aid are inconclusive. It is. therefore, difficult to predict their long term sales potential. Freedom of Choice. It could be argued that patches represent an alternate product for nicotine users (along Arith gums. snuffs and inhalants), and thus having the potential to be marketed as a cessation aid or a means of cutting down smoking. They would however need to be clearly positioned as not being an alternative to cigarette smoking, since this would erroneously suggest that the cigarene itself is a simple nicotine delivering device. ;rosion of smokinp franchise- By topping up the wholebody nicotine reservoir patches might be expected to reduce daily consumption of cigarettes. We currently BATCo document for Province of BritiSh Columbia 26 October 1999 6 know insufficient about the potential demand for such products and, hence, the potential business trade-offvalue between patches and cigarettes is un~zriown. Dual Usaec Risks. Patches do not appear to be an effective cessation aid in the medium term. There is, however, the possibility that people will use them in addition to cigarettes, with the possibility of:- (a) nicotine overdosing for regular smokers-, (b) habituation to continual body reservoir nicotine requirement; and (c) consequential debate that patches actually synergise rather than antagonise the smoking habit. Patches would therefore not appear to be immediately appropriate for marketing for use by smokers as an altcmative product in circumstances where smoking is proscribed e.g. airlines, theatres, etc. Association xith Poisor,,Dr-ue. However insulatcd from cigarettes the patch alternative may be, it shares a kriov.-n common feature. nicotine. Patches may focus debate on nicotine as a psycho-active componcnt of cigarettes, diverting attention from other valid aspects of smoking satisfaction (taste, texture, visual/tactile stimuli) and potentially focusing on nicotine as a drug and a poison. Erosion of Brand Value. Patches do not offer great marketing flexibility in terms of product and brand image differentiation since the only variables currently available are amount and relative speed of dosing. If the nicotine centrality argument generalises back to cigarettes, which are in themselves r-,Iativclv homogeneous at product 1--vel, some consequential brand value erosion could follow. CO Z!, (-)7 N) BATCO document for Province of BritiSh Columbia 26 October 1999 7 Markerno Corritietence. Patches are most likely to be controlled as prescription-only drugs whic' ~s not an area of marketing competence for BAT. Given the 'drug' profile of patches :- would also be important to separate the business completely from c)garer:t markerinc. 9. 0--:---R CONSIDERATIONS The class-."-- cation of nicotine patches as a drug delivery system may or may not apply in all coun----;Ies. In the U.S.A., tobacco products are not regulated by the F.D.A. unless health clai=s are made, e.g. "Premier" came under the scrutiny of the F.D.A. If tobacco companies were to market nicotine patches, this could be seen as a move towards ----.acco companies being regarded as pharmaceutical companies. The anti- smoking- has in the past offensively referred to the tobacco industry as "no benT7 than druz :!.~shcrs*'. The issue -.- addlcfion has been Wlidely debated in respect of smoking and the potentiai use of nicz--mc through patches is likely to lead to further public interest in that issue. The 198S *-'.S. Surgeon General's Report obser-ved that nearly half of all living adults who ever ~mokcd have quit but still concluded that nicotine is addictive. The tobacco industry's -:sponse is that addiction is a frequently misused term that has become a catch ph--as! for many habits. In product liability litigation tobacco companies assen that peop': continue to smoke because they enjoy it and that it is not appropriate to term smczne as addictive when millions of smokers have given up voluntarily and %kithout 2:3istance. 10. S',-NfMARY In view different product characteristics ofTNPs and smoking, cur-rent designs ofTN-Ps would not appear to be a serious threat to the tobacco industry. It is, howe%-c-. difficult zc make confident predictions about the likely success ofTN?s although thtrt are cleari, some major issues associated with their wiftsprezd use. 01- BATCO document for Province of BritiSh Columbia 26 October 1999 8 On the a-ssum:)tion that they are viewed by consumers as an acceptable and valuable method of nicotine intake, TN-Ps have the potential to be a highly profitable business activity. This is because the likely retail price of such patches is similar to that for a pack of cigarettes whilst the manufacturing costs are likely to be lower than those for cigarettes and TN?s attract no excise duty. Arguments against an extension of business activity into the production and marketing cfTNPs are:- i. TNI?s are commodity products. differentiated by very little except perhaps spe--dofaction. They %kill, therefore, be very difficult to invest credibly N4ith product/brand image differentiation. ii. BAT would be placed in an invidious and legally difficult position Ifit promoied the product- (a) As an aid to stop smoking - if, as preliminary studies suggest, the patches are not effective as a smoking cessation aid, marketing it would be likely to lead to an allegation of misleading claims being made for the product. It should be noted, however, that if the product is ineffective as a cessation aid this is consistent with the tobacco industr-, position that smokers are not physically "addicted" to nicotine but choose -whether to smoke or not, and therefore they have no need for such an aid. (b) As a product which consumers freely choose in order to satisfy th~:ir desire for nicotine uptake, given the fact that TN?s are likely to bt. available only on prescription. CID -Z. BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 26 October 1999 As a dual-usage product for smokers given the lack of research done on the safM of use of the patches in conjunction with smoking iii. "atches are capable of being misused, and this is likely to lead to their disuibution being restricted and/or potential litigation. There a:--- no significant technological or processing synergies between tobacco manufa=_,ring and the production of patches other than the use of tobacco waste as a source 0~'nicotine. Thus, ft= a business opportunity viewpoint, TNPs should be viewed as a high profit potenti-L but high risk venture. 11. ?7CONfNVENDATIONS FOR FURTHER ACTION If it is d:zided that further investication of the role of the nicotine patch is to be madc. it is rezzmmcnded that:- The potential ofnicotine patches should continue to be investigated, particularly against the possibility that improved patches are developed Consideration should be given to supporting research projects in relanic- to Alzheimer's disease and Parkinson's disease in view Of the probable therapeutic value of nicotine with regard to these conditions and ltverage ofthe positive perception ofnicotine. The likelihood of a scenario emerging where people consume both TN?s and tobacco products should be evaluated and estimates made of the business trade-off value therein. Qualitative consumer research on the scope for insulating cigarene perceprion/usage from patch perception/usage and the scope for INJ LTI branding differentiation of patches should be investigated. c0 -1 BATCO document for Province of BritiSh Columbia 26 October 1999 10 Ifthe production ofTN?s were considered to be an acceptable proposition, the business potential and viability should be reviewed b, project team specifically brought together for this purpose under the auspices of BAT Industries rather than being based within one of the BAT tobacco operations. 19.5.92 CD Co L BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 26 October 1999