SECRET GREEROT / AIRBUS r'%tt1tud,-r,,2.'-1 Monitor Product. Concept-Tast !K9 BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 1. Tasks and Obiectives 11-,~-ablish-nc an a---ud,'naI 7ior."or on, the following subjects: - switching h4st-ory cognitive dissonance. - personal health concern -'tiVity to SOC4al - s .~ r, s -I I pressure - product benefit trade-off - concept responsiveness - readiness to adopt innovation The objEctiv--. of the test., was to provide guidelines for z luture product- and concept-develop-ment. 2. Research-Details I ;. A total of V`50 int-Erviews was conducted in Septer.,bEr/ October 111P.S for the attitudinal ronitor with the following 5122 s7,,.ckErs 11-64 a~x-s-' okm 164 CD BATCo document for Province of British Columbia I November 1999 3. Selected Results scoD- of the data cathnrgd is ex're7iely wide. The 10 is an atte-Dt 4o c^rrmant s-^Iec~-e4 results w--,,h 1 1 e' to be of particular relevance to the research that is to Drovide cuidel-ines for zroduct- and pt-,~e,,Elopment CD BATCo document for Province of British Columbia I November 1999 Switchina History / Couitive Dissonance (excerDtS) kttemots to cuit smokinq 20 % of all smokers interviewed have tried to pit during the last 12 months. The main reason for attempting to quit was the worry about the personal health and well-being (62 %). Brand choice prior to the attempt and after the attempt chances in the direction of mild- and ultra-mild-brands. brand from the prior to quitting after the attempt segment % % full-flavour 61 mild 27 ultra-mild 12 unaccounted 51 33 18 4 If the time span for quitting attempts is broadened to hat any time" 38 % of smokers have already attempted to quit. The worry about the personal health and well-being with 41 % of reasons given is by far the most important. 51 % of all smokers at the time of the interview certainly wish to quit smoking. X_ CD C7, BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 Makina a ciqarette more attractive than the current own brand 70 % of smokers can imagine a future cigarette more attractive than their current brand. Of these 60 % can imagine a more attractive cigarette, only 10 % more attractive advertising or packaging. For the cigarette 23 % would find a less harmful cigarette more attractive and 22 % a cigarette with lower deliveries which still has sufficient taste. CD C~ C", C-N BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 2. Health-Concern (excerpts) All respondents are highly concerned about environmental pollution. Non-smokers even more than smokers. On a scale from 1 = I am not at all concerned to 7 = I am very concerned, smokers rate the fact that they smoke cigarettes with 3.8 slightly below the average. 37 % of all smokers give their concern above the average rating of 4. Smokinq and diseases 40 % of smokers agree to the statement that in the main certain diseases are definitely caused by smoking. 30 % select the more qualified statement that smoking may cause certain diseases in certain circumstances or in combination with other factors. The most important factors named by all respondents are: stress / nervousness 27 % air-pollution/ environmental pollution 22 % malnutrition 20 % CD BATCo document for Province of British Columbia I November 1999 43 % of smokers rate themselves to be fairly concerned about the diseases associated with smoking. 25 % are unsure and 26 % are either fairly or definitely unconcerned. CD CD CD 01 cr, BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 Tobacco components and health 50 % of smokers rate tar to be definitely harmful. 43 % consider tar to be probably harmful at high consumption levels. A high consumption level for smokers interviewed is more than 19.3 cigarettes per day. 37 % of smokers rate nicotine to be definitely harmful. 53 % consider it probably harmful at high conSUDtiOn levels which are given here as more than 17.4 cigaretttes per day. 87 % rate carbon monoxide to be definitely harmful or probably harmful at more than 17.2 cigarettes per day. Z. CD C', BATCo document for Province of British Columbia I November 1999 Del'-7ery Fiqures 50 % of smokers interviewed have a knowledge about- tE:-deliveries. The lowest tar-delivery is given to be 3.4. mg as an average value with 43 % giving figures be:veen 1 mg and 7 mg. The highest tat-delivery is given as '7.3. mg with 47 % giving figures between 12 mg and 25 no. The lowest acceptable level of tar personally can not hi by 65 % of smokers. In the remaining group 13 Gi7z. values between 1 mg and 5 mg and 21 % values bEJ en 6 mg and 10 mg. The most important reason for t.~_: figure quoted is to maintain taste. For the lowest nicotine-delivery 46 % give figures be".Veen 0.1 and 0.8 mg with an average value of 0.3 mG. Fc: t-he highest nicotine-delivery 36 % give figures be-Ae-en 0.8 mg and 2.0 mg with an average value of I.q. 1 C. 2,/-- of smokers interviewed can not answer the question afft--- the lowest acceptable level of nicotine. 20 % gi-Ta f-'-,-es between 0.1. ing and 0.5 mg. 13 % give figures bE-.Oz-en 0, 6 mg and 1, 0 mg. BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 In finding the typical level of nicotine for cErtain tar-groups about 50 % of stokers can not do this for a 12 mg or a 5 mg tar-cigarette. 64 % of smokers are unable to name a nicotine-figure for a 1 mg tar- cigarette. The rest establish the combinations as follows: 12 mg tar / 1.0 mg nicotine 5 ig tar / 0.6 mg nicotine 1 mg tar 10.3 mg nicotine BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 3. Personal Health On a scale of 1 = very unconcerned to 7 = very concerned smokers, ex-smokers and non-smokers expressed very different levels of concern regarding passive-smoking. smokers 2.0 ex-smokers 3.6 non-smokers 4.3 37 % of smokers expressed a higher concern than the average value of 4 about the number of cigarettes that they smoke. Only improved self-confidence in a social gathering and an easier way of making contact with other people as well as stoking as a help against stress and tiredness are accepted benefits of smoking to which more than 50 % of smokers agree. The effects of tar and nicotine on the body are relatively well-known by smokers. 55 % give descriptions of health aspects for tar, 52 % give descriptions of health-aspects for nicotine. For nicotine the most important descriptions are harmful/poisonous 18 % effect on blood-pressure 19 % getting used to it/addiction 17 % BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 Smokers generally agree on the possibility to differentiate between cigarettes by the amount of tar and the amount of nicotine. On differentiation by tar and nicotine-quality there is an overall distribution of roughly 35 % who do not know 30 % who say 'yes" 35 % who say "no" CD (Z) BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 3. Sensitivity to Social Pressure (excerpts) All respondents are agreed that there is social pressure on cigarette-smokers. 16 % of smokers find the current discussion about smoking in Germany appropriate and think it should even be increased. 64 % of smokers find the current discussion appropriate but do not think it should be increased. 54 % of smokers believe that cigarette-smoke in the air can harm the health of non-smokErs. 30 % of smokers agree to this under certain circumstances. Circumstances under which this could be true are: badly ventilated rooms 57 too many smokers among non-smokers 42 % C) NJ BATCo document for Province of British Columbia I November 1999 Behind the current discussion on smoking there are 4 main reasons. On a scale of 1 = is one of the main reasons to 4 is no reason at all smoking harms the health of the smokers 1.6 smoking harms the health of non-smokers 1.7 the amount of smoke in rooms 1.7 the irritation of the smoke 2.1 These figures are given by all respondents. The smell of the smoke 2.5, the debris left by the smoker 2.9 and the negative image of smokers themselves 3.0 are significantly less important. CD CN BATCo document for Province of British Columbia I November 1999 The most important source of pressure is medical advice. The media and legislated restrictions are significantly less important as the source of pressure. The percentage of smokers amongst the adult-population is estimated to be 48.4 % and is estimated to diminish to 38.1 % in 10 years time. 42 % of smokers expect increased social pressure in 10 years time. 48 % of smokers think that the allegation that smoking is harmful to the smoker will be generally substantiated. The allegation that cigarette-smoke in the air can harm the health of non-smokers will be substantiated according to 38 % of smokers and will still be debated according to 44 %. 50 % of smokers expect cigarettes 10 years from now to be much the same as today. For the 50 % which see improvements or legal restrictions lower delivery figures and less side- stream are the most important factors. For the passive-smoke there is no clear cut distinction between the general smoke in the room, the ex-haled smoke from the smoker and the side-stream smoke from the cigarette. .r, CD BATCo document for Province of British Columbia I November 1999 4. Product-Benefit Trade-Off (excerpts) In order to reduce the harmful effects of smoking smokers consider the reduction of the quantities of tar and nicotine to be most important. 93 % of smokers consider the reduction of tar to be either very or partially effective. 90 % consider the reduction of nicotine to be very or partially effective. The emphasis here is for both measures on very effective. In contrast the emphasis for changing the paper or changing the filter technology, altering the quality of tobacco or altering the quality of the tar is on the partial effectiveness of these measures. Taking the ratings very effective or partially effective together we find large majorities for these steps: changing the paper or the filter effective 69 changing the quality of the tobacco effective 57 changing the quality of the tar effective 78 If asked to design the ideal cigarette smokers put a high importance on taste-quality and satisfaction but nearly the same importance on a low amount of tar. BATCo document for Province of British Columbia I November 1999 For a cicarette having these desired characteristics consumers state that they would be willing to pay on average DM 0,43 more per pack (statEment of intent under research conditions). The information about a completely new cigarette combining taste-quality and very low delivery figures could best be given by the family-doctor or research-scientists. information from friends would also be believed by the majority. But large proportions would be sceptical about information coridrig fro-m the government, the media or in the last place from cigarette-manufacturers. Faced with a fixed set of alternatives to tackle the health-risks of smoking 43 % of smokers believe that this. should be done by reducing the amount of tobacco and modifying the quality of the tobacco. 30 % believe that the health-risk can already be tackled by only -modifying the quality of the tobacco. 10 % beheVE that thilis can only be done by reducinc the amount of tobacco. 17 % believe that none of the three alternatives will work. _rz- C=) CD 011 N: 0 ~1 BATCo document for Province of British Columbia I November 1999 5. Concept i.:sponsiveness (excerpts) 84 % of smokers declare themselves interested enough to try a new cicarette with good taste and satisfaction but very low tar- and nicotine-figures and reduced side-stream. But they also state that they would not continue to smoke it if the taste of the new cigarette is not as good as that of their current own brand. 12 % of smokers would go on smoking t'_le new cigarette even if the taste would not be quite as good as the taste of their current brand. 59 % of Smokers rate a product with 1 mg tar and 0,8 ma nicotine to be unusual. 80 % can name benefits for such a cigarette. The most important benefit is that the cigarette is less harmful and therefore better for your health which is named by 50 %. 58 % see disadvantages in such a cigaretta as well. kmong the possible problems 33 % give the most important problems for such a cigarette as less taste, flavourless, too mild. BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 6. Readiness to Adopt Innovation (excerpts) 8 % of smokers rate themselves to be among the first to t.ry new products in general. 57 % wait for reactions o-f e:--rly users before trying a new product themselves (ceneral statement). 35 % need a personal conviction of te new product's advantages before trying it. Ncn-smokers, ex-smokers and smokers are agreed that heKth issue is the most important aspect for the dE7elopment of new cigarettes. Smokers give nearly tL-La SEMe importance to taste and satisfaction to the smokEr aS a development objective. All other aspects are s-unificantly behind these two. The least importance is pu,L- on all aspects of visual appearance of the cigarett-ra Ed EVen less on packaging size, shape and structure. A*; groups of respondents are agreed that the irritation o- the smoke is more important in the development thE: the amount of smoke going into the environment. At the end of the interview all respondents were askei to classify themselves into one life-style group. The L_,_Iecrent life-style groups were represented by a nur-.-=.r 0-1 V-1sual examples. BATCo document for Province of British Columbia I November 1999 The most important life-style group for smokers is the enjoyment orientated EGOCENTERED-group. We find 33 % of smokers in this group. In this group the high importance given to consumption as enjoyment of life is the most important factor. Within this group of the EGOCENTERED there are three sub-groups: 10 % of smokers are really Superficial 4 % are concentrating on their friends in all aspects of their behaviour 19 % are withdrawing from society because they feel threatened 26 % of smokers are CHANGED-people. They escape from the restrictions of society into a fantasy life. In general they deal with current reality in a cynical and contemptuous way. A very good education, a large number of hobbies and the desire not to conform are the important characteristics of these people. CD 011 BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 In the conservative group with strong moral principles we find 11 % of smokers but 17 % of ex-smokers. In the groups of people with materialistic attitude with 12 with a political left-wing motivation 9 and with an enterprising spirit 7 % The representation of the smokers corresponds to the percentages for the other groups Overall the majority of smokers is concentrated in the two groups of the EGOCENTEFB- 33 % and the CHANGED-people 26%. BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 SECRET GREENDOT/AIRBUS Conclusions from the kttitudinal Monitor in Germany 1. Personal health-concern is found with a large part of German smokers today. This concern motivates them to take definitive steps like trying to stop smoking. If we should be able to propose an improved and credible way for reducing health concern we could activate a large potential of smokers. 2. The majority of smokers also has been persuaded that their own tobacco-smoke is not only annoying to the non-smoker but also harmful for him. If by an improved solution measured against today's cigarettes we could defuse the social and personal conflict of the smoker, we could also activate a large potential. 3. Reducing the health-risks connected with cigarette-smoking is the focal point for making nEW cigarettes attractive to the sioker. The smoker retains the wish to find in such a cigarette a volume of taste, sufficient for the individual. In comparison to the possible innovation in the product- field, innovations in packaging and advertising have a significantly smaller potential. C:) CD G\ U4 BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 4. For the majority of smokers there is no clear cut connection between nicotine and taste in the form of definitive analysis figure combinations. 5. Tar and nicotine are both classified as harmful. For nicotine the classification "harmful" is used more often in conjunction with a high daily consumption rate. Seen on this background a cigarette with a very low tar-figure but a high nicotine-figure is rated to be interesting, but this concept will need a lot of explanation. 6. The concept of nicotine and tar of different qualities is new for German smokers. 1/3 of them already agrees to the possibility of differentiation by nicotine and tar-quality. 7. Today's smokers regard passive-stoke not only as annoying for the non-smokers. A large majority of them even think that they harm the non-smokers' health. We must adapt to this state of mind of our smokers. On the one hand the scientific debate about passive-smoking must be continued, on the other hand we must give a higher priority to the modification of our cigarettes in order to reduce this Droblem. Consumers make no difference whatsoever in the sources of E.T.S.. All groups of respondents agree that they want the irritation of the smoke to be reduced at the first priority but they put nearly the same importance on the reduction of the total quantity of smoke. BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 8. There is general agreement that tar- and nicotine fizura.S should be reduced to reduce health-risks. 9. A cigarette-company needs an endorsement from medical sc _nce or at least from a proportion of family doctors- for a c-Igarette with reduced health risk. The credibility of the industry and of cigare t te -advert is ing is relatively low in this context. German smokers give us a very limited sBace for trade-offs. 10. Thuey want lower figures, they want less health-risk but thley also want to retain today's volume of taste. If a C.4arette does not offer sufficient taste then for the large majority of smokers the act of smoking has lost its purDOSe. ON BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999 GREENDOVAIRBUS h attempt to define research objectives from the Attitudinal Monitor's results 1. The consumers give the highest priority to a cigarette which combines lower figures and therefore less health risk with today's volume of taste. If we look at different sub- groups of smokers such a cigarette should combine the usual amount of taste and usual amount of nicotine with lowest tar-amount possible. ks a final objective we can define three different cigarettes (1) 0,8 mg nicotine, I mg tar with a taste-volume acceptable for today's full-flavor-s,r,okers (2) 0,5 /0,6 7ng nicotine, I mag tar with a taste- volune acceptable for today's 7mild-sTokers Q~ C,,3 !-;,a ricot-inn., 1 -a tar witt, a tast-e-volur.,e. acceptabila lor today's ultra-Indid-siokirs As an, iriter-;!ediate coal we si-tou"Id ai- to o::--r 'or each GrO11D a Ciaarettu- Com ...binina Food tastc it-h the respec'~ivzz +. ~,~ S_ n, cotirE-ricure d L. - poss-'1z ;-ar :,cur-- a r, aliest ror the full-flavor-variant we find here the final obj~.ctllve of GREENDOT. C~ C7 \ BATCo document for Province of British Columbia I November 1999 1 : w= ragard tar-quantity as given we should look from a dilffc-ren.t- perspective into the question how the quality of ~.ar could ba. changed. We have seer, that consumers accept "The washing of tobacco" as a possible process for reducing har-mful Substances. Even if such a process alone would not have the desired efficiency the process could nevertheless serve as a consumer explanation for other quality-chances in tar which we either could not or would not want to explain in detail. J. We miust look again at the total issue. of E.T.S.-reduction. 3 19 From, the research-results we have a clear cut ranking of smiokers' priorities: M reductilon of irritation of the srnoke (21~ reduction of the total sne,oke-quantity We can not proceed only along the quantity reduction as Exe-1plified niust respect the snolrers' wish, CigarEtt:_ Which is VEry closed in conventional product and nevertne' route of the tobacco- in the C'PRTCE-cigarette 'L*!Ia'L he wants to retain a for-,!Et to his ess has reduced E.T. S. . 4 ::- C, BATCo document for Province of British Columbia I November 1999 4. Fro- i3er7a,-j T,.arkzt4ng Point Of VJAW t*-2re is a for s,~ccess fful -miarketing of GRE-2-1DOT in the Gerrnan Do Markcz t . FrV,,7.-, the rEs*dl ts we can not s ea. a chanc o-, ui-v ?-,arka--ng an 'HBUS type product. Howevar. We takz into consideration that Reynolds is workinc on ,. ...L I - - - PREF-EP, aid will probably rE7,,,.ain active in this field e-iz-n fail in their 'first attam,Dt. While concen"ratinc on t~e ~.eveiop-,Ent of GREENDOT this means that we mmust alS: c 0 r"I" nue research into kIRBUS type products. This resea-rch shou-i have trie objective of generating the cons~r,,Er benEfit-S Of an AIRBUS type product in order to use these benz-:its in the improvem....ent of our own products in the dir=.,.-Ion of a smaller health-risk. The r.:.search has shown that for the time being German smokers want to retain the--'Ir norral cigarette. We must cor,-z'!,-,.r7,.,. to our consumers in this respect and therefore w.z rec:77erid to cive a hiCliEr or-ori'-y -dcc ass f u I I L to the s dEVE-C-,0a71:n[ 07 a mErketable GREENDO'.-`-cigarette. than to E7 y p e p r o d u c t . Januiry 17th, 1939 Ifff, B e - B a C, cc, BATCo document for Province of British Columbia 1 November 1999